Regular season ·

Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee4-826
Western Kentucky8-431Final
Sat, Nov 30 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, Ky. · Crowd 7,589 · 55°ESPN+

Records are after this game.

Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee by 5 points.

How the game turned

Western Kentucky aheadMiddle Tennessee aheadBiggest swing
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Q4 7:14 Western Kentucky 24, Middle Tennessee 20

Western Kentucky 77% to win

Storey 3-yd TD pass to Jernighan, Western Kentucky goes ahead 24-20

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:27 · Western Kentucky 0, Middle Tennessee 3Holt 26-yd field goal, Middle Tennessee goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 14:02 · Western Kentucky 3, Middle Tennessee 10Western Kentucky's win chance fell from 63% to 47%.O'Hara 17-yd TD pass to Upton, Middle Tennessee goes ahead 10-3
  3. 3Q2 0:30 · Western Kentucky 10, Middle Tennessee 13Holt 20-yd field goal, Middle Tennessee goes ahead 13-10
  4. 4Q3 13:40 · Western Kentucky 17, Middle Tennessee 13Western Kentucky's win chance rose from 58% to 73%.Storey 64-yd TD pass to Jackson, Western Kentucky goes ahead 17-13
  5. 5Q4 12:43 · Western Kentucky 17, Middle Tennessee 20Western Kentucky's win chance fell from 66% to 42%.O'Hara 24-yd TD pass to Pierce, Middle Tennessee goes ahead 20-17
  6. 6Q4 7:14 · Western Kentucky 24, Middle Tennessee 20Western Kentucky's win chance rose from 49% to 77%.Storey 3-yd TD pass to Jernighan, Western Kentucky goes ahead 24-20

Western Kentucky's lowest chance to win was 23 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 7:14 left in the 4th quarter, Western Kentucky's chance to win went from 49 percent to 77 percent when Western Kentucky scored a touchdown.

The score went from Western Kentucky 17, Middle Tennessee 20 to Western Kentucky 24, Middle Tennessee 20.

The play: Storey 3-yd TD pass to Jernighan, Western Kentucky goes ahead 24-20.

What happened next

  1. Western Kentucky's next game: W 23-20 vs Western Michigan in the Servpro First Responder Bowl, Dec 30

    30 days later

  2. Middle Tennessee finished the 2019 season 4-8.

  3. Middle Tennessee's first game of the 2020 season: L 0-42 at Army, Sep 5, 2020

    about 9 months later

  4. The teams' next meeting after Nov 30, 2019: Western Kentucky 20, Middle Tennessee 17, Oct 3, 2020

    about 10 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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