Regular season ·

Navy beat Air Force

Air Force3-225
Navy3-134Final
Sat, Oct 5 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, Md. · Crowd 37,957 · 65°, cloudyCBS Sports Network

Records are after this game.

Navy beat Air Force by 9 points.

How the game turned

Navy aheadAir Force aheadLow: 21%
12345

Q4 0:23 Navy 28, Air Force 25

Navy 65% to win

Perry 3-yd TD run, Navy goes ahead 28-25

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 3:09 · Navy 0, Air Force 3Navy's win chance fell from 37% to 36%.Koehnke 42-yd field goal, Air Force goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 13:24 · Navy 7, Air Force 3Navy's win chance rose from 39% to 48%.Smith 1-yd TD run, Navy goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q4 3:15 · Navy 21, Air Force 25Navy's win chance fell from 59% to 24%.Birdow 1-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Air Force goes ahead 25-21
  4. 4Q4 0:23 · Navy 28, Air Force 25Navy's win chance rose from 38% to 65%.Perry 3-yd TD run, Navy goes ahead 28-25
  5. 5Q4 0:00 · Navy 34, Air Force 25Navy's win chance rose from 67% to 100%.Brown fumble return TD, Navy wins it 34-25

Navy's lowest chance to win was 21 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Navy took the lead for good with 0:23 left in the 4th quarter, Navy 28, Air Force 25.

What happened next

  1. Navy's next game: W 45-17 at Tulsa, Oct 12

    7 days later

  2. Air Force's next game: W 43-24 vs Fresno State, Oct 12

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 5, 2019: Air Force 40, Navy 7, Oct 3, 2020

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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