Regular season ·
Air Force beat Navy
Records are after this game.
Air Force beat Navy by 33 points.
How the game turned
Q2 10:58 Air Force 10, Navy 7
Air Force 40% to win
Daniels 1-yd TD run, Air Force goes ahead 10-7
Big moments
- 1Q1 7:44 · Air Force 3, Navy 0Air Force's win chance rose from 36% to 39%.Schuettpelz-Rohl 48-yd field goal, Air Force goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 14:50 · Air Force 3, Navy 7Air Force's win chance fell from 39% to 29%.Goslin 73-yd TD pass to Fells, Navy goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q2 10:58 · Air Force 10, Navy 7Air Force's win chance rose from 30% to 40%.Daniels 1-yd TD run, Air Force goes ahead 10-7
- 4Q2 0:00 · Air Force 16, Navy 7Air Force's win chance rose from 58% to 74%.Schuettpelz-Rohl 32-yd field goal, Air Force leads 16-7
Air Force's lowest chance to win was 26 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
How the lead changed
Air Force took the lead for good with 10:58 left in the 2nd quarter, Air Force 10, Navy 7.
A margin this large, 33 points, last came in this series in the 2002 season, going by our games data since 1970.
What happened next
Navy's next game: W 31-29 vs Temple, Oct 10
7 days laterAir Force's next game: L 6-17 at San José State, Oct 24
21 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 3, 2020: Air Force 23, Navy 3, Sep 11, 2021
about 11 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.