Regular season ·
Memphis beat Cincinnati
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 17 Memphis beat No. 18 Cincinnati by 10 points.
How the game turned
Q4 3:16 Memphis 34, Cincinnati 24
Memphis 94% to win
Gibson 29-yd TD run, Memphis leads 34-24
Big moments
- 1Q2 1:21 · Memphis 20, Cincinnati 17Patterson 28-yd field goal, Memphis goes ahead 20-17
- 2Q4 10:27 · Memphis 27, Cincinnati 24Memphis's win chance fell from 91% to 78%.Bryant 12-yd TD run, cuts it to 27-24
- 3Q4 3:16 · Memphis 34, Cincinnati 24Memphis's win chance rose from 78% to 94%.Gibson 29-yd TD run, Memphis leads 34-24
Memphis was never below a 63 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 3:16 left in the 4th quarter, Memphis's chance to win went from 78 percent to 93 percent when Memphis scored a touchdown.
The score went from Memphis 27, Cincinnati 24 to Memphis 34, Cincinnati 24.
The play: Gibson 29-yd TD run, Memphis leads 34-24.
What happened next
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.