American Athletic Championship ·

American Athletic Championship

American Athletic Championship
No. 21 Cincinnati10-324
No. 16 Memphis12-129Final
Sat, Dec 7 · Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis, Tenn. · Crowd 33,008 · 50°, fairABC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 16 Memphis beat No. 21 Cincinnati by 5 points, the American Athletic Championship.

How the game turned

Memphis aheadCincinnati aheadBiggest swingLow: 31%
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Q4 1:14 Memphis 29, Cincinnati 24

Memphis 87% to win

White 6-yd TD pass to Gibson, two-point try fails, Memphis goes ahead 29-24

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 2:36 · Memphis 10, Cincinnati 7Memphis's win chance rose from 63% to 73%.Gibson 65-yd TD run, Memphis goes ahead 10-7
  2. 2Q2 2:37 · Memphis 10, Cincinnati 14Memphis's win chance fell from 64% to 53%.Ridder 15-yd TD run, Cincinnati goes ahead 14-10
  3. 3Q3 11:59 · Memphis 17, Cincinnati 14Memphis's win chance rose from 57% to 68%.White 1-yd TD run, Memphis goes ahead 17-14
  4. 4Q3 7:21 · Memphis 17, Cincinnati 21Memphis's win chance fell from 62% to 47%.Warren 3-yd TD run, Cincinnati goes ahead 21-17
  5. 5Q4 14:47 · Memphis 23, Cincinnati 21Memphis's win chance rose from 59% to 66%.Patterson 50-yd field goal, Memphis goes ahead 23-21
  6. 6Q4 4:23 · Memphis 23, Cincinnati 24Memphis's win chance fell from 67% to 46%.Crosa 33-yd field goal, Cincinnati goes ahead 24-23
  7. 7Q4 1:14 · Memphis 29, Cincinnati 24Memphis's win chance rose from 64% to 87%.White 6-yd TD pass to Gibson, two-point try fails, Memphis goes ahead 29-24

Memphis's lowest chance to win was 31 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 1:14 left in the 4th quarter, Memphis's chance to win went from 64 percent to 87 percent when Memphis scored a touchdown.

The score went from Memphis 23, Cincinnati 24 to Memphis 29, Cincinnati 24.

The play: White 6-yd TD pass to Gibson, two-point try fails, Memphis goes ahead 29-24.

What happened next

  1. Memphis's next game: L 39-53 vs Penn State in the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic, Dec 28

    21 days later

  2. Cincinnati's next game: W 38-6 vs Boston College in the Ticketsmarter Birmingham Bowl, Jan 2

    26 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Dec 7, 2019: Cincinnati 49, Memphis 10, Oct 31, 2020

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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