Postseason ·

Navy beat Kansas State

No. 21 Navy11-220
Kansas State8-517Final
Tue, Dec 31 · Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis, Tenn. (neutral site) · Crowd 50,515 · 50°, fairESPN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 21 Navy beat Kansas State by 3 points.

It was played at a neutral site: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis, TN.

How the game turned

Navy aheadKansas State aheadBiggest swing

Q4 0:01 Navy 20, Kansas State 17

Navy 100% to win

Nichols 23-yd field goal, Navy wins it 20-17

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 4:26 · Navy 3, Kansas State 0Navy's win chance rose from 63% to 67%.Nichols 21-yd field goal, Navy goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 13:13 · Navy 3, Kansas State 7Navy's win chance fell from 73% to 49%.Brooks return TD, Kansas State goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q2 9:31 · Navy 10, Kansas State 7Navy's win chance rose from 52% to 61%.Perry 27-yd TD pass to Makekau, Navy goes ahead 10-7
  4. 4Q3 10:15 · Navy 17, Kansas State 10Navy's win chance rose from 64% to 78%.Warren 20-yd TD run, Navy goes ahead 17-10
  5. 5Q4 5:14 · Navy 17, Kansas State 17Navy's win chance fell from 69% to 39%.Thompson 1-yd TD run, ties it 17-17
  6. 6Q4 0:01 · Navy 20, Kansas State 17Navy's win chance rose from 53% to 100%.Nichols 23-yd field goal, Navy wins it 20-17

Navy's lowest chance to win was 36 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:01 left in the 4th quarter, Navy's chance to win went from 53 percent to 99 percent when Navy kicked a field goal.

The score went from Navy 17, Kansas State 17 to Navy 20, Kansas State 17.

The play: Nichols 23-yd field goal, Navy wins it 20-17.

What happened next

  1. Navy finished the 2019 season 11-2, No. 21 in the last AP poll before the bowls.

  2. Kansas State finished the 2019 season 8-5.

  3. Navy's first game of the 2020 season: L 3-55 vs BYU, Sep 7, 2020

    about 8 months later
  4. Kansas State's first game of the 2020 season: L 31-35 vs Arkansas State, Sep 12, 2020

    about 8 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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