Regular season ·

Liberty beat Western Kentucky

Liberty1-030
Western Kentucky0-224Final
Sat, Sep 19 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, Ky. · Crowd 4,276 · 64°, clearESPNU

Records are after this game.

Liberty beat Western Kentucky by 6 points.

The announced crowd was 4,276, in the 2020 season.

How the game turned

Liberty aheadWestern Kentucky aheadBiggest swingLow: 15%
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Q3 1:33 Liberty 24, Western Kentucky 17

Liberty 69% to win

Louis 29-yd TD run, Liberty goes ahead 24-17

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 11:27 · Liberty 7, Western Kentucky 0Liberty's win chance rose from 26% to 29%.Willis 4-yd TD run, Liberty goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 10:15 · Liberty 17, Western Kentucky 3Liberty's win chance rose from 43% to 63%.Willis 4-yd TD run, Liberty leads 17-3
  3. 3Q3 1:33 · Liberty 24, Western Kentucky 17Liberty's win chance rose from 44% to 69%.Louis 29-yd TD run, Liberty goes ahead 24-17
  4. 4Q4 3:04 · Liberty 30, Western Kentucky 24Liberty's win chance fell from 92% to 78%.Pigrome 36-yd TD pass to Burt, cuts it to 30-24

Liberty's lowest chance to win was 15 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 1:33 left in the 3rd quarter, Liberty's chance to win went from 44 percent to 69 percent when Liberty scored a touchdown.

The score went from Liberty 17, Western Kentucky 17 to Liberty 24, Western Kentucky 17.

The play: Louis 29-yd TD run, Liberty goes ahead 24-17.

What happened next

  1. Liberty's next game: W 36-34 vs Florida International, Sep 26

    7 days later

  2. Western Kentucky's next game: W 20-17 at Middle Tennessee, Oct 3

    14 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 19, 2020: Liberty 42, Western Kentucky 29, Oct 24, 2023

    about 3 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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