Regular season ·
North Carolina beat Miami
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 20 North Carolina beat No. 9 Miami by 36 points.
How the game turned
Q1 8:53 North Carolina 7, Miami 3
North Carolina 54% to win
Williams 2-yd TD run, North Carolina goes ahead 7-3
Big moments
- 1Q1 11:46 · North Carolina 0, Miami 3Borregales 47-yd field goal, Miami goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q1 8:53 · North Carolina 7, Miami 3North Carolina's win chance rose from 45% to 54%.Williams 2-yd TD run, North Carolina goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q1 0:15 · North Carolina 21, Miami 3North Carolina's win chance rose from 70% to 85%.Carter 65-yd TD run, North Carolina leads 21-3
North Carolina's lowest chance to win was 32 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
How the lead changed
North Carolina took the lead for good with 8:53 left in the 1st quarter, North Carolina 7, Miami 3.
What happened next
Miami went from No. 9 to No. 19 in the next AP poll.
Miami's next game: L 34-37 vs Oklahoma State in the Cheez-It Bowl, Dec 29
17 days laterNorth Carolina's next game: L 27-41 vs Texas A&M in the Capital One Orange Bowl, Jan 2
21 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Dec 12, 2020: North Carolina 45, Miami 42, Oct 16, 2021
about 10 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.