Regular season ·
New Mexico beat Wyoming
Records are after this game.
New Mexico had a 7 percent chance to win in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 17-16, December 5, 2020.
How the game turned
Q4 6:22 New Mexico 17, Wyoming 16
New Mexico 38% to win
Chavez 44-yd TD pass to Cole, New Mexico goes ahead 17-16
Big moments
- 1Q1 11:42 · New Mexico 0, Wyoming 3New Mexico's win chance fell from 17% to 13%.Hoyland 29-yd field goal, Wyoming goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 14:53 · New Mexico 7, Wyoming 3New Mexico's win chance rose from 20% to 27%.Jones 21-yd TD run, New Mexico goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q2 8:56 · New Mexico 7, Wyoming 10New Mexico's win chance fell from 31% to 23%.Smith 58-yd TD run, Wyoming goes ahead 10-7
- 4Q2 2:31 · New Mexico 10, Wyoming 13New Mexico's win chance fell from 22% to 21%.Hoyland 26-yd field goal, Wyoming goes ahead 13-10
- 5Q4 6:22 · New Mexico 17, Wyoming 16New Mexico's win chance rose from 17% to 38%.Chavez 44-yd TD pass to Cole, New Mexico goes ahead 17-16
New Mexico's lowest chance to win was 7 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 6:22 left in the 4th quarter, New Mexico's chance to win went from 16 percent to 38 percent when New Mexico scored a touchdown.
The score went from New Mexico 10, Wyoming 16 to New Mexico 17, Wyoming 16.
The play: Chavez 44-yd TD pass to Cole, New Mexico goes ahead 17-16.
It was New Mexico's first win over Wyoming since the 2016 season, after 3 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
New Mexico's next game: W 49-39 vs Fresno State, Dec 12
7 days laterWyoming's next game: L 9-17 vs Boise State, Dec 12
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Dec 5, 2020: New Mexico 14, Wyoming 3, Oct 23, 2021
about 11 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.