Regular season ·

Mississippi State beat Texas A&M

Mississippi State3-226
No. 15 Texas A&M3-222Final
Sat, Oct 2 · Kyle Field, College Station, Texas · Crowd 87,973 · 84°, mainly clearSEC Network

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Mississippi State beat No. 15 Texas A&M by 4 points.

Texas A&M was No. 15 in the AP poll before the game; Mississippi State was not ranked.

How the game turned

Mississippi State aheadTexas A&M aheadBiggest swingLow: 24%
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Q4 2:02 Mississippi State 26, Texas A&M 22

Mississippi State 85% to win

Nathan Pickering Safety

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 11:49 · Mississippi State 3, Texas A&M 0McCord 24-yd field goal, Mississippi State goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q1 9:26 · Mississippi State 3, Texas A&M 7Mississippi State's win chance fell from 29% to 27%.Calzada 11-yd TD pass to Wydermyer, Texas A&M goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q1 2:58 · Mississippi State 10, Texas A&M 7Mississippi State's win chance rose from 31% to 39%.Rogers 1-yd TD pass to Walley, Mississippi State goes ahead 10-7
  4. 4Q2 2:47 · Mississippi State 10, Texas A&M 13Small 37-yd field goal, Texas A&M goes ahead 13-10
  5. 5Q2 1:16 · Mississippi State 17, Texas A&M 13Mississippi State's win chance rose from 43% to 47%.Rogers 15-yd TD pass to Polk, Mississippi State goes ahead 17-13

Mississippi State's lowest chance to win was 24 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 2:02 left in the 4th quarter, Mississippi State's chance to win went from 66 percent to 85 percent when Mississippi State scored.

The score went from Mississippi State 24, Texas A&M 22 to Mississippi State 26, Texas A&M 22.

What happened next

  1. Texas A&M was No. 15 before the game and out of the next AP poll.

  2. Texas A&M's next game: W 41-38 vs Alabama, Oct 9

    7 days later

  3. Mississippi State's next game: L 9-49 vs Alabama, Oct 16

    14 days later

  4. The teams' next meeting after Oct 2, 2021: Mississippi State 42, Texas A&M 24, Oct 1, 2022

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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