Regular season ·

Wake Forest beat Louisville

Louisville3-234
No. 24 Wake Forest5-037Final
Sat, Oct 2 · Truist Field at Wake Forest, Winston-Salem, N.C. · Crowd 29,077 · 78°, partly cloudyESPN3

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 24 Wake Forest beat Louisville by 3 points.

How the game turned

Wake Forest aheadLouisville aheadLow: 24%
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Q2 0:00 Wake Forest 20, Louisville 17

Wake Forest 67% to win

Sciba 20-yd field goal, Wake Forest goes ahead 20-17

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 12:05 · Wake Forest 3, Louisville 0Sciba 33-yd field goal, Wake Forest goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q1 6:45 · Wake Forest 3, Louisville 7Wake Forest's win chance fell from 66% to 62%.Cunningham 7-yd TD run, Louisville goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q1 3:53 · Wake Forest 10, Louisville 7Wake Forest's win chance rose from 65% to 73%.Hartman 1-yd TD run, Wake Forest goes ahead 10-7
  4. 4Q2 8:52 · Wake Forest 10, Louisville 17Wake Forest's win chance fell from 59% to 48%.Cunningham 5-yd TD run, Louisville goes ahead 17-10
  5. 5Q2 0:00 · Wake Forest 20, Louisville 17Sciba 20-yd field goal, Wake Forest goes ahead 20-17
  6. 6Q4 3:52 · Wake Forest 34, Louisville 27Wake Forest's win chance rose from 63% to 88%.Hartman 7-yd TD pass to Perry
  7. 7Q4 3:01 · Wake Forest 34, Louisville 34Wake Forest's win chance fell from 88% to 48%.Cunningham 75-yd TD pass to Harrell, ties it 34-34
  8. 8Q4 0:22 · Wake Forest 37, Louisville 34Sciba 29-yd field goal, Wake Forest goes ahead 37-34

Wake Forest's lowest chance to win was 24 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Wake Forest took the lead for good with 0:22 left in the 4th quarter, Wake Forest 37, Louisville 34.

What happened next

  1. Wake Forest's next game: W 40-37 at Syracuse, Oct 9

    7 days later

  2. Louisville's next game: L 33-34 vs Virginia, Oct 9

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 2, 2021: Louisville 48, Wake Forest 21, Oct 29, 2022

    about 13 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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