Regular season ·

TCU beat Baylor

No. 14 Baylor7-228
TCU4-530Final
Sat, Nov 6 · Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas · Crowd 40,338 · 64°, clearFOX

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

TCU beat No. 14 Baylor by 2 points.

Baylor was No. 14 in the AP poll before the game; TCU was not ranked.

How the game turned

TCU aheadBaylor aheadBiggest swingLow: 17%
12345

Q4 5:04 TCU 30, Baylor 28

TCU 53% to win

Bohanon 4-yd TD pass to Thornton, cuts it to 30-28

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 10:53 · TCU 0, Baylor 7TCU's win chance fell from 25% to 18%.Bohanon 7-yd TD pass to Thornton, Baylor goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 13:29 · TCU 10, Baylor 7TCU's win chance rose from 36% to 39%.Kell 30-yd field goal, TCU goes ahead 10-7
  3. 3Q2 2:57 · TCU 13, Baylor 14TCU's win chance fell from 47% to 38%.Bohanon 21-yd TD pass to Dabney, Baylor goes ahead 14-13
  4. 4Q2 0:59 · TCU 16, Baylor 14Kell 24-yd field goal, TCU goes ahead 16-14
  5. 5Q4 5:04 · TCU 30, Baylor 28TCU's win chance fell from 85% to 53%.Bohanon 4-yd TD pass to Thornton, cuts it to 30-28

TCU's lowest chance to win was 17 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 5:04 left in the 4th quarter, Baylor's chance to win went from 15 percent to 47 percent when Baylor scored a touchdown.

The score went from TCU 30, Baylor 21 to TCU 30, Baylor 28.

The play: Bohanon 4-yd TD pass to Thornton, cuts it to 30-28.

What happened next

  1. TCU's next game: L 17-63 at Oklahoma State, Nov 13

    7 days later

  2. Baylor's next game: W 27-14 vs Oklahoma, Nov 13

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 6, 2021: TCU 29, Baylor 28, Nov 19, 2022

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

Share: Post on X · Text it ·