Regular season ·

East Carolina beat Navy

East Carolina7-438
Navy2-835Final
Sat, Nov 20 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, Md. · Crowd 28,001 · 45°, overcastCBS Sports Network

Records are after this game.

East Carolina beat Navy by 3 points.

How the game turned

East Carolina aheadNavy aheadLow: 12%
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Q4 0:00 East Carolina 38, Navy 35

East Carolina 100% to win

Daffer 54-yd field goal, East Carolina wins it 38-35

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 12:14 · East Carolina 7, Navy 0East Carolina's win chance rose from 70% to 76%.Mitchell 10-yd TD run, East Carolina goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 2:58 · East Carolina 14, Navy 7East Carolina's win chance rose from 62% to 75%.Ahlers 40-yd TD pass to Snead, East Carolina goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q2 5:29 · East Carolina 17, Navy 14East Carolina's win chance rose from 63% to 65%.Daffer 37-yd field goal, East Carolina goes ahead 17-14
  4. 4Q2 2:11 · East Carolina 17, Navy 21East Carolina's win chance fell from 62% to 51%.Ruoss 19-yd TD run, Navy goes ahead 21-17
  5. 5Q2 0:18 · East Carolina 24, Navy 21East Carolina's win chance rose from 52% to 64%.Ahlers 5-yd TD pass to Jones, East Carolina goes ahead 24-21
  6. 6Q4 14:03 · East Carolina 24, Navy 28East Carolina's win chance fell from 64% to 42%.Acie 90-yd TD run, Navy goes ahead 28-24
  7. 7Q4 5:01 · East Carolina 35, Navy 35East Carolina's win chance rose from 12% to 59%.Ahlers 28-yd TD pass to Snead, two-point try good, ties it 35-35
  8. 8Q4 0:00 · East Carolina 38, Navy 35East Carolina's win chance rose from 62% to 100%.Daffer 54-yd field goal, East Carolina wins it 38-35

East Carolina's lowest chance to win was 12 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

East Carolina took the lead for good with 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, East Carolina 38, Navy 35.

It was East Carolina's first win over Navy since the 2011 season, after 5 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. East Carolina's next game: L 13-35 vs Cincinnati, Nov 26

    6 days later

  2. Navy's next game: W 38-14 at Temple, Nov 27

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 20, 2021: Navy 23, East Carolina 20, Sep 24, 2022

    about 10 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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