Regular season ·
Northern Illinois beat Buffalo
Records are after this game.
Northern Illinois beat Buffalo by 6 points in overtime.
How the game turned
OT1 Northern Illinois 33, Buffalo 27
Northern Illinois 100% to win
Ratkovich 25-yd TD run, Northern Illinois wins it 33-27
Big moments
- 1Q1 10:12 · Northern Illinois 0, Buffalo 3McNulty 32-yd field goal, Buffalo goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 5:29 · Northern Illinois 3, Buffalo 10McDuffie 1-yd TD run, Buffalo goes ahead 10-3
- 3Q3 11:53 · Northern Illinois 17, Buffalo 10Northern Illinois's win chance rose from 64% to 79%.Brown 47-yd TD run, Northern Illinois goes ahead 17-10
- 4Q4 4:58 · Northern Illinois 27, Buffalo 24Northern Illinois's win chance rose from 53% to 70%.Richardson 27-yd field goal, Northern Illinois goes ahead 27-24
- 5Q4 1:10 · Northern Illinois 27, Buffalo 27Northern Illinois's win chance fell from 68% to 59%.McNulty 55-yd field goal, ties it 27-27
- 6OT1 · Northern Illinois 33, Buffalo 27Northern Illinois's win chance rose from 53% to 100%.Ratkovich 25-yd TD run, Northern Illinois wins it 33-27
Northern Illinois's lowest chance to win was 38 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
In overtime, Northern Illinois's chance to win went from 53 percent to 99 percent when Northern Illinois scored a touchdown.
The score went from Northern Illinois 27, Buffalo 27 to Northern Illinois 33, Buffalo 27.
The play: Ratkovich 25-yd TD run, Northern Illinois wins it 33-27.
What happened next
Northern Illinois's next game: L 21-42 vs Western Michigan, Nov 23
6 days laterBuffalo's next game: L 3-20 at Ball State, Nov 23
6 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 17, 2021: Buffalo 23, Northern Illinois 20, Sep 21, 2024
about 3 years later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.