Regular season ·

Tennessee beat Alabama

No. 3 Alabama6-149
No. 6 Tennessee6-052Final
Sat, Oct 15 · Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, Tenn. · Crowd 101,915 · 79°, cloudyCBS

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Tennessee had a 9 percent chance to win with 7:06 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 52-49, October 15, 2022.

Tennessee was No. 6 and Alabama No. 3 in the AP poll before the game.

How the game turned

Tennessee aheadAlabama aheadLow: 9%
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Q4 0:00 Tennessee 52, Alabama 49

Tennessee 100% to win

McGrath 40-yd field goal, Tennessee wins it 52-49

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 10:18 · Tennessee 7, Alabama 0Tennessee's win chance rose from 37% to 42%.Small 1-yd TD run, Tennessee goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 6:43 · Tennessee 14, Alabama 7Tennessee's win chance rose from 34% to 46%.Hooker 36-yd TD pass to Hyatt, Tennessee goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q3 10:16 · Tennessee 34, Alabama 28Tennessee's win chance rose from 31% to 53%.Hooker 60-yd TD pass to Hyatt, Tennessee goes ahead 34-28
  4. 4Q3 4:27 · Tennessee 34, Alabama 35Tennessee's win chance fell from 47% to 29%.Gibbs 2-yd TD run, Alabama goes ahead 35-34
  5. 5Q4 14:01 · Tennessee 42, Alabama 35Tennessee's win chance rose from 30% to 71%.Hooker 78-yd TD pass to Hyatt, two-point try good, Tennessee goes ahead 42-35
  6. 6Q4 7:49 · Tennessee 42, Alabama 49Tennessee's win chance fell from 35% to 10%.Turner fumble return TD, Alabama goes ahead 49-42
  7. 7Q4 3:26 · Tennessee 49, Alabama 49Tennessee's win chance rose from 10% to 40%.Hooker 13-yd TD pass to Hyatt, ties it 49-49
  8. 8Q4 0:00 · Tennessee 52, Alabama 49Tennessee's win chance rose from 65% to 100%.McGrath 40-yd field goal, Tennessee wins it 52-49

Tennessee's lowest chance to win was 9 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Tennessee took the lead for good with 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Tennessee 52, Alabama 49.

It was Tennessee's first win over Alabama since the 2006 season, after 15 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. Tennessee's next game: W 65-24 vs UT Martin, Oct 22

    7 days later

  2. Alabama's next game: W 30-6 vs Mississippi State, Oct 22

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 15, 2022: Alabama 34, Tennessee 20, Oct 21, 2023

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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