Regular season ·

Alabama beat Tennessee

Tennessee5-220
Alabama7-134Final
Sat, Oct 21 · Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Ala. · Crowd 100,077 · 83°, cloudyCBS

Records are after this game.

Alabama beat Tennessee by 14 points.

How the game turned

Alabama aheadTennessee aheadBiggest swingLow: 2%

Q3 14:19 Alabama 14, Tennessee 20

Alabama 41% to win

Milroe 46-yd TD pass to Bond, cuts it to 20-14

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 12:39 · Alabama 0, Tennessee 7Alabama's win chance fell from 67% to 62%.Milton 39-yd TD pass to White, Tennessee goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 14:19 · Alabama 14, Tennessee 20Alabama's win chance rose from 20% to 41%.Milroe 46-yd TD pass to Bond, cuts it to 20-14
  3. 3Q3 6:24 · Alabama 17, Tennessee 20Alabama's win chance rose from 47% to 59%.Sampson run for no gain, turnover on downs
  4. 4Q3 3:42 · Alabama 24, Tennessee 20Alabama's win chance rose from 66% to 70%.McClellan 5-yd TD run, Alabama goes ahead 24-20
  5. 5Q4 7:26 · Alabama 34, Tennessee 20Alabama's win chance rose from 68% to 86%.Campbell fumble return TD, Alabama leads 34-20

Alabama's lowest chance to win was 2 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 14:19 left in the 3rd quarter, Alabama's chance to win went from 20 percent to 41 percent when Alabama scored a touchdown.

The score went from Alabama 7, Tennessee 20 to Alabama 14, Tennessee 20.

The play: Milroe 46-yd TD pass to Bond, cuts it to 20-14.

What happened next

  1. Tennessee's next game: W 33-27 at Kentucky, Oct 28

    7 days later
  2. Alabama's next game: W 42-28 vs LSU, Nov 4

    14 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 21, 2023: Tennessee 24, Alabama 17, Oct 19, 2024

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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