Regular season ·

LSU beat Alabama

No. 6 Alabama7-231
No. 15 LSU7-232Final
Sat, Nov 5 · Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, La. · Crowd 102,321 · 63°, fairESPN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 15 LSU beat No. 6 Alabama by 1 point in overtime.

How the game turned

LSU aheadAlabama aheadBiggest swingLow: 12%

OT1 LSU 32, Alabama 31

LSU 100% to win

Daniels 25-yd TD run, two-point try good, LSU wins it 32-31

Big moments

  1. 1Q3 3:30 · LSU 14, Alabama 9LSU's win chance rose from 25% to 44%.Williams 2-yd TD run, LSU goes ahead 14-9
  2. 2Q4 12:37 · LSU 14, Alabama 15LSU's win chance fell from 47% to 24%.Williams 2-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Alabama goes ahead 15-14
  3. 3Q4 6:52 · LSU 17, Alabama 15Ramos 32-yd field goal, LSU goes ahead 17-15
  4. 4Q4 4:44 · LSU 17, Alabama 21LSU's win chance fell from 45% to 19%.Young 41-yd TD pass to Brooks, two-point try fails, Alabama goes ahead 21-17
  5. 5Q4 1:47 · LSU 24, Alabama 21LSU's win chance rose from 29% to 61%.Daniels 7-yd TD pass to Taylor, LSU goes ahead 24-21
  6. 6Q4 0:21 · LSU 24, Alabama 24LSU's win chance fell from 68% to 51%.Reichard 46-yd field goal, ties it 24-24
  7. 7OT1 · LSU 24, Alabama 31Williams 1-yd TD run, Alabama goes ahead 31-24
  8. 8OT1 · LSU 32, Alabama 31LSU's win chance rose from 28% to 100%.Daniels 25-yd TD run, two-point try good, LSU wins it 32-31

LSU's lowest chance to win was 12 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In overtime, LSU's chance to win went from 28 percent to 99 percent when LSU scored a touchdown.

The score went from LSU 24, Alabama 31 to LSU 32, Alabama 31.

The play: Daniels 25-yd TD run, two-point try good, LSU wins it 32-31.

What happened next

  1. LSU went from No. 15 to No. 7 in the next AP poll.

  2. LSU's next game: W 13-10 at Arkansas, Nov 12

    7 days later
  3. Alabama's next game: W 30-24 at Ole Miss, Nov 12

    7 days later
  4. The teams' next meeting after Nov 5, 2022: Alabama 42, LSU 28, Nov 4, 2023

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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