Regular season ·
Oregon State beat Oregon
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Oregon State trailed Oregon by 21 points in the 3rd quarter and won 38-34, November 26, 2022.
Oregon State was No. 22 and Oregon No. 10 in the AP poll before the game.
How the game turned
Q4 8:11 Oregon State 38, Oregon 34
Oregon State 70% to win
Newell 6-yd TD run, Oregon State goes ahead 38-34
Big moments
- 1Q1 10:20 · Oregon State 3, Oregon 0Hayes 50-yd field goal, Oregon State goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q1 7:57 · Oregon State 3, Oregon 7Oregon State's win chance fell from 55% to 41%.Nix 44-yd TD pass to Cota, Oregon goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q1 2:33 · Oregon State 10, Oregon 7Oregon State's win chance rose from 51% to 61%.Gulbranson 1-yd TD run, Oregon State goes ahead 10-7
- 4Q2 0:14 · Oregon State 10, Oregon 14Nix 9-yd TD pass to Franklin, Oregon goes ahead 14-10
- 5Q4 8:11 · Oregon State 38, Oregon 34Oregon State's win chance rose from 36% to 70%.Newell 6-yd TD run, Oregon State goes ahead 38-34
Oregon State's lowest chance to win was 3 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 8:11 left in the 4th quarter, Oregon State's chance to win went from 36 percent to 70 percent when Oregon State scored a touchdown.
The score went from Oregon State 31, Oregon 34 to Oregon State 38, Oregon 34.
The play: Newell 6-yd TD run, Oregon State goes ahead 38-34.
What happened next
Oregon State's next game: W 30-3 vs Florida in the Srs Distribution Las Vegas Bowl, Dec 17
21 days later- 32 days later
The teams' next meeting after Nov 26, 2022: Oregon 31, Oregon State 7, Nov 24, 2023
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.