Regular season ·
Tulane beat Cincinnati
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 19 Tulane beat No. 21 Cincinnati by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q4 5:10 Tulane 27, Cincinnati 24
Tulane 72% to win
Pratt 30-yd TD pass to Watts, Tulane goes ahead 27-24
Big moments
- 1Q1 5:17 · Tulane 3, Cincinnati 0Ambrosio 34-yd field goal, Tulane goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 4:58 · Tulane 10, Cincinnati 3Tulane's win chance rose from 57% to 71%.Spears 11-yd TD run, Tulane goes ahead 10-3
- 3Q2 0:16 · Tulane 13, Cincinnati 10Ambrosio 47-yd field goal, Tulane goes ahead 13-10
- 4Q4 6:27 · Tulane 20, Cincinnati 24Tulane's win chance fell from 49% to 27%.Montgomery 15-yd TD run, Cincinnati goes ahead 24-20
- 5Q4 5:10 · Tulane 27, Cincinnati 24Tulane's win chance rose from 30% to 72%.Pratt 30-yd TD pass to Watts, Tulane goes ahead 27-24
Tulane's lowest chance to win was 27 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 5:10 left in the 4th quarter, Tulane's chance to win went from 30 percent to 72 percent when Tulane scored a touchdown.
The score went from Tulane 20, Cincinnati 24 to Tulane 27, Cincinnati 24.
The play: Pratt 30-yd TD pass to Watts, Tulane goes ahead 27-24.
It was Tulane's first win over Cincinnati since the 2002 season, after 4 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.