American Athletic Championship ·
American Athletic Championship
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 18 Tulane beat No. 22 UCF by 17 points, the American Athletic Championship.
How the game turned
Q4 8:18 Tulane 38, UCF 28
Tulane 92% to win
Pratt 60-yd TD pass to Wyatt, Tulane leads 38-28
Big moments
- 1Q1 7:46 · Tulane 7, UCF 0Tulane's win chance rose from 70% to 72%.Pratt 10-yd TD pass to Wyatt, Tulane goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 11:30 · Tulane 10, UCF 0Tulane's win chance rose from 73% to 83%.Plumlee run for no gain, turnover on downs
- 3Q4 8:18 · Tulane 38, UCF 28Tulane's win chance rose from 55% to 92%.Pratt 60-yd TD pass to Wyatt, Tulane leads 38-28
Tulane was never below a 50 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 8:18 left in the 4th quarter, Tulane's chance to win went from 54 percent to 92 percent when Tulane scored a touchdown.
The score went from Tulane 31, UCF 28 to Tulane 38, UCF 28.
The play: Pratt 60-yd TD pass to Wyatt, Tulane leads 38-28.
It was Tulane's first win over UCF since the 2015 season, after 5 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
UCF's next game: L 13-30 vs Duke in the Military Bowl, Dec 28
25 days laterTulane's next game: W 46-45 vs USC in the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic, Jan 2
30 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.