Regular season ·

UCF beat South Florida

UCF9-346
South Florida1-1139Final
Sat, Nov 26 · Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Fla. · Crowd 32,217 · 76°, cloudyESPN2

Records are after this game.

UCF beat South Florida by 7 points.

How the game turned

UCF aheadSouth Florida aheadLow: 35%

Q4 0:20 UCF 46, South Florida 39

UCF 87% to win

Keene 14-yd TD pass to Holler, two-point try good, UCF goes ahead 46-39

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 12:17 · UCF 7, South Florida 0UCF's win chance rose from 88% to 95%.Plumlee 64-yd TD run, UCF goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q4 7:02 · UCF 38, South Florida 39UCF's win chance fell from 89% to 60%.Brown 42-yd TD run, South Florida goes ahead 39-38
  3. 3Q4 0:20 · UCF 46, South Florida 39UCF's win chance rose from 70% to 87%.Keene 14-yd TD pass to Holler, two-point try good, UCF goes ahead 46-39

UCF's lowest chance to win was 35 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

UCF took the lead for good with 0:20 left in the 4th quarter, UCF 46, South Florida 39.

What happened next

  1. UCF's next game: L 28-45 at Tulane, Dec 3

    7 days later
  2. South Florida finished the 2022 season 1-11.

  3. South Florida's first game of the 2023 season: L 24-41 at Western Kentucky, Sep 2, 2023

    about 9 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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