Dr Pepper Big 12 Championship ·
Dr Pepper Big 12 Championship
Records are after this game.
Kansas State beat TCU by 3 points in overtime, the Dr Pepper Big 12 Championship.
It was played at a neutral site: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX.
How the game turned
OT1 Kansas State 31, TCU 28
Kansas State 100% to win
Zentner 31-yd field goal, Kansas State wins it 31-28
Big moments
- 1Q1 5:00 · Kansas State 0, TCU 7Kansas State's win chance fell from 44% to 35%.Duggan 1-yd TD pass to Barber, TCU goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 10:16 · Kansas State 14, TCU 7Kansas State's win chance rose from 70% to 74%.Howard 1-yd TD run, Kansas State goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q4 11:27 · Kansas State 28, TCU 17Kansas State's win chance rose from 78% to 93%.Vaughn 44-yd TD run, Kansas State leads 28-17
- 4Q4 1:51 · Kansas State 28, TCU 28Kansas State's win chance fell from 89% to 53%.Duggan 8-yd TD run, two-point try good, ties it 28-28
- 5OT1 · Kansas State 31, TCU 28Kansas State's win chance rose from 56% to 100%.Zentner 31-yd field goal, Kansas State wins it 31-28
Kansas State's lowest chance to win was 24 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
In overtime, Kansas State's chance to win went from 56 percent to 99 percent when Kansas State kicked a field goal.
The score went from Kansas State 28, TCU 28 to Kansas State 31, TCU 28.
The play: Zentner 31-yd field goal, Kansas State wins it 31-28.
What happened next
Kansas State's next game: L 20-45 vs Alabama in the Allstate Sugar Bowl, Dec 31
28 days laterTCU's next game: W 51-45 vs Michigan in the CFP Semifinal at the VRBO Fiesta Bowl, Dec 31
28 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Dec 3, 2022: Kansas State 41, TCU 3, Oct 21, 2023
about 11 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.