Regular season ·

Arizona State beat UCLA

Arizona State3-717
UCLA6-47Final
Sat, Nov 11 · Rose Bowl, Pasadena, Calif. · Crowd 56,436 · 66°, clearPAC12

Records are after this game.

Arizona State beat UCLA by 10 points.

How the game turned

Arizona State aheadUCLA aheadBiggest swingLow: 15%

Q4 9:47 Arizona State 10, UCLA 7

Arizona State 50% to win

Schlee 16-yd TD pass to Loya, cuts it to 10-7

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 7:54 · Arizona State 3, UCLA 0Arizona State's win chance rose from 28% to 32%.Longhetto 29-yd field goal, Arizona State goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q4 9:47 · Arizona State 10, UCLA 7Arizona State's win chance fell from 78% to 50%.Schlee 16-yd TD pass to Loya, cuts it to 10-7

Arizona State's lowest chance to win was 15 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 9:47 left in the 4th quarter, UCLA's chance to win went from 22 percent to 50 percent when UCLA scored a touchdown.

The score went from Arizona State 10, UCLA 0 to Arizona State 10, UCLA 7.

The play: Schlee 16-yd TD pass to Loya, cuts it to 10-7.

What happened next

  1. Arizona State's next game: L 13-49 vs Oregon, Nov 18

    7 days later
  2. UCLA's next game: W 38-20 at USC, Nov 18

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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