Regular season ·
Duke beat Wake Forest
Records are after this game.
Duke had a 10 percent chance to win with 1:27 left in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 24-21, November 2, 2023.
How the game turned
Q4 0:00 Duke 24, Wake Forest 21
Duke 100% to win
Pelino 26-yd field goal, Duke wins it 24-21
Big moments
- 1Q1 7:10 · Duke 0, Wake Forest 7Duke's win chance fell from 57% to 48%.Carney 3-yd TD run, Wake Forest goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 8:10 · Duke 7, Wake Forest 14Duke's win chance fell from 56% to 41%.Griffis 8-yd TD run, Wake Forest goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q3 4:35 · Duke 14, Wake Forest 21Duke's win chance fell from 54% to 24%.Griffis 5-yd TD run, Wake Forest goes ahead 21-14
- 4Q4 11:40 · Duke 21, Wake Forest 21Duke's win chance rose from 23% to 57%.Loftis 29-yd TD pass to Moore, ties it 21-21
- 5Q4 0:00 · Duke 24, Wake Forest 21Duke's win chance rose from 78% to 100%.Pelino 26-yd field goal, Duke wins it 24-21
Duke's lowest chance to win was 10 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
How the lead changed
Duke took the lead for good with 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Duke 24, Wake Forest 21.
What happened next
Duke's next game: L 45-47 at North Carolina, Nov 11
9 days laterWake Forest's next game: L 6-26 vs NC State, Nov 11
9 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 2, 2023: Duke 23, Wake Forest 17, Nov 30, 2024
about 13 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.