Regular season ·
Baylor beat TCU
Records are after this game.
Baylor beat TCU by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q4 4:54 Baylor 34, TCU 27
Baylor 87% to win
Washington 1-yd TD run, Baylor goes ahead 34-27
Big moments
- 1Q1 6:42 · Baylor 0, TCU 7Baylor's win chance fell from 53% to 46%.Hoover 8-yd TD pass to Bailey, TCU goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 8:41 · Baylor 13, TCU 7Baylor's win chance rose from 65% to 66%.Washington 40-yd TD run, Baylor goes ahead 13-7
- 3Q2 0:50 · Baylor 13, TCU 17Baylor's win chance fell from 39% to 27%.Hoover 1-yd TD run, TCU goes ahead 17-13
- 4Q3 0:23 · Baylor 20, TCU 27Baylor's win chance fell from 50% to 20%.Williams 6-yd TD pass to Bech, TCU goes ahead 27-20
- 5Q4 4:54 · Baylor 34, TCU 27Baylor's win chance rose from 55% to 87%.Washington 1-yd TD run, Baylor goes ahead 34-27
- 6Q4 1:55 · Baylor 34, TCU 34Baylor's win chance fell from 91% to 55%.Hoover 24-yd TD pass to Bech, ties it 34-34
- 7Q4 0:00 · Baylor 37, TCU 34Baylor's win chance rose from 65% to 100%.Hankins 33-yd field goal, Baylor wins it 37-34
Baylor's lowest chance to win was 15 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
How the lead changed
Baylor took the lead for good with 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Baylor 37, TCU 34.
It was Baylor's first win over TCU since the 2019 season, after 4 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
TCU's next game: W 38-13 vs Oklahoma State, Nov 9
7 days laterBaylor's next game: W 49-35 at West Virginia, Nov 16
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 2, 2024: TCU 42, Baylor 36, Oct 18, 2025
about 11 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.