Regular season ·
Central Michigan beat Ball State
Records are after this game.
Central Michigan beat Ball State by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q4 0:53 Central Michigan 30, Ball State 34
Central Michigan 28% to win
Semonza 16-yd TD pass to Koziol, Ball State goes ahead 34-30
Big moments
- 1Q1 7:21 · Central Michigan 0, Ball State 3Central Michigan's win chance fell from 56% to 55%.Holmer 31-yd field goal, Ball State goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 5:37 · Central Michigan 14, Ball State 10Central Michigan's win chance rose from 45% to 66%.Emanuel 7-yd TD pass to Parker, Central Michigan goes ahead 14-10
- 3Q3 8:56 · Central Michigan 23, Ball State 24Central Michigan's win chance fell from 77% to 61%.Sloan 22-yd TD run, Ball State goes ahead 24-23
- 4Q4 5:02 · Central Michigan 30, Ball State 27Central Michigan's win chance rose from 31% to 61%.Emanuel 16-yd TD run, Central Michigan goes ahead 30-27
- 5Q4 0:53 · Central Michigan 30, Ball State 34Central Michigan's win chance fell from 57% to 28%.Semonza 16-yd TD pass to Koziol, Ball State goes ahead 34-30
- 6Q4 0:16 · Central Michigan 37, Ball State 34Central Michigan's win chance rose from 22% to 51%.Labas 20-yd TD pass to Parker, Central Michigan goes ahead 37-34
Central Michigan's lowest chance to win was 21 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:53 left in the 4th quarter, Ball State's chance to win went from 43 percent to 73 percent when Ball State scored a touchdown.
The score went from Central Michigan 30, Ball State 27 to Central Michigan 30, Ball State 34.
The play: Semonza 16-yd TD pass to Koziol, Ball State goes ahead 34-30.
What happened next
Central Michigan's next game: W 22-21 vs San Diego State, Sep 28
7 days laterBall State's next game: L 7-63 at James Madison, Sep 28
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.