Ryan Beard

2-5This season at Coastal Carolina
9-10FBS career

Also coached below FBS: Missouri State 2023–24

Program lift
Year 1
graded once a job reaches 3 seasons
See Coastal Carolina’s full coaching history →

Career arc

Part one · This week

As of Fri Oct 23

Saturday: at Georgia State

No game this week · Sat Oct 31, 12 am ET ESPN+ · Georgia State is 4-2 · First meeting between Beard and Dell McGee as head coaches · Coastal Carolina’s chance to win: 26% (the site’s model)

His week

No headlines named him in the last 7 days

What they are talking about, week and season

Offense: 89th of 138 per play. Defense: 83rd.

Offense, per play89thOffense, big plays16thDefense, per play83rdDefense, knocking offenses off schedule120thWorstBest
Offense, per play89th of 138Offense, big plays16th of 138Defense, per play83rd of 138Defense, knocking offenses off schedule120th of 138WorstBest
Through 7 games. Each tick is an FBS team, adjusted for opponent strength (CFB Zeitgeist model); the dot is Coastal Carolina. The other two rows are where Coastal Carolina stands furthest from the middle. Early-season numbers move a lot.

5 games left

  1. Sat Oct 31at Georgia State (4-2)ESPN+26%
  2. Sat Nov 7vs. Old Dominion (2-5)57%
  3. Sat Nov 14vs. Arkansas State (3-4)42%
  4. Sat Nov 21at Louisiana (5-2)7%
  5. Sat Nov 28at James Madison (7-1)6%

Percent: Coastal Carolina’s chance to win, from the site’s model. Records are through today. Networks as announced; the rest are set closer to kickoff.

How the season got here

Where Coastal Carolina stood among 138 FBS programs by stature after each game (1st is the highest; the CFB Zeitgeist ledger).

102nd108th114thPreseason106thWest Virginia L 24-31West Virginia L 24-31L 24-31West Virginia106thFordham W 45-7Fordham W 45-7W 45-7Fordham108thDelaware L 14-22Delaware L 14-22L 14-22Delaware108thLiberty L 17-34Liberty L 17-34L 17-34Liberty108thGeorgia Southern L 24-31Georgia Southern L 24-31L 24-31Georgia South…109thMarshall W 27-21Marshall W 27-21W 27-21Marshall108thApp State L 32-35App State L 32-35L 32-35App State107thBye108th
  1. Oct 12–18L 32-35 vs. App State0 headlines
  2. Oct 5–11W 27-21 at Marshall0 headlines
  3. Sep 28–Oct 4L 24-31 vs. Georgia Southern2 headlines · 75th of 138
  4. Sep 21–27 · rebuiltL 17-34 vs. Liberty2 headlines · 76th of 138
  5. Sep 14–20 · rebuiltL 14-22 at Delaware1 headline · 91st of 138
  6. Sep 7–13 · rebuiltW 45-7 vs. Fordham2 headlines · 84th of 138Coastal Carolina routs Fordham 45-7 for Ryan Beard's first win CBS Sports

Each week as this page showed it at the time. Weeks marked rebuilt came before this page existed: they were built afterward from only what was known by the end of that week.

Watch the biggest plays from Coastal Carolina’s games, ranked by how much each moved the chance to win.

Coastal Carolina

3 stories about him in the last 30 days

Bye week. Next: Georgia State, Sat Oct 31

from 2 outlets and r/CFB

Sep 28: 1Oct 2: 2L 17-34 vs LibertyLL 24-31 vs Georgia SouthernLW 27-21 at MarshallWL 32-35 vs App StateLSep 24Oct 23Most in a day: 2
Sep 28: 1Oct 2: 2L 17-34 vs LibertyLL 24-31 vs Georgia SouthernLW 27-21 at MarshallWL 32-35 vs App StateLSep 24Oct 23Most in a day: 2
Gold: stories about him each day. W and L: his games.

21 stories about him this season

from 18 outlets and r/CFB

Aug 8 to Aug 14: 1Aug 15 to Aug 21: 2Aug 29 to Sep 4: 7Sep 5 to Sep 11: 2Sep 12 to Sep 18: 4Sep 19 to Sep 25: 2Sep 26 to Oct 2: 3L 24-31 at West VirginiaLW 45-7 vs FordhamWL 14-22 at DelawareLL 17-34 vs LibertyLL 24-31 vs Georgia SouthernLW 27-21 at MarshallWL 32-35 vs App StateLAug 1Oct 23Most in a week: 7
Aug 8 to Aug 14: 1Aug 15 to Aug 21: 2Aug 29 to Sep 4: 7Sep 5 to Sep 11: 2Sep 12 to Sep 18: 4Sep 19 to Sep 25: 2Sep 26 to Oct 2: 3L 24-31 at West VirginiaLW 45-7 vs FordhamWL 14-22 at DelawareLL 17-34 vs LibertyLL 24-31 vs Georgia SouthernLW 27-21 at MarshallWL 32-35 vs App StateLAug 1Oct 23Most in a week: 7
Gold: stories about him each week. W and L: his games. Counted from Aug 1, when tracking began.

What they’re talking about

Press conference and quotes9 stories
Game preview4 stories
Profile and feature2 stories
Quarterback and depth chart2 stories
Win2 stories

Could another school hire him? What has he said?

Stories are headlines grouped by what they are about, counted through Oct 23.

In his own words

The ability to be able to start fast in both halves is vitally important because this will be a huge momentum game. Anytime there are emotions of a rivalry, you have to really stay within yourself and maintain your focus
Chanticleernews · · 2 days before Coastal Carolina's 2026 game against App State
Every quote, back to September 2026

In his own words (10)

The ability to be able to start fast in both halves is vitally important because this will be a huge momentum game. Anytime there are emotions of a rivalry, you have to really stay within yourself and maintain your focus
Chanticleernews2 days before Coastal Carolina's 2026 game against App State
I don’t know that I’ve been part of a game that you fumble the ball through the end zone twice in one game. We have taken some steps internally to change practice structure and how we evaluate the practice film
Chanticleernews2 days before the Marshall game
It’s tough to wrap your mind around when you just had that last five minutes of that second quarter. We got to find the guys that want to compete for four quarters, that want to play hard, that deserve to wear the teal
Chanticleernews3 days after the 24-31 game
There’s not really starters in certain positions at this point
Chanticleernews3 days after the 24-31 game
That was not winning football. Penalties, turnovers, lack of execution on special teams . I have to make sure that we’re doing the things necessary in practice to prevent those types of issues
Chanticleernews2 days before the Liberty game
It’s a big win. It’s a big day for our program and just excited for our guys… What an atmosphere that was. I mean, that was absolutely electric. The city of Conway, the surrounding areas , everybody came; they were loud, they were in their white. So , this is a win that should be celebrated by the entirety of Teal Nation
Chanticleernewsthe day after the 45-7 game
That second half was the football team I know and love
Chanticleernews3 days after the 24-31 opener
We have to get rid of the penalties. We have to be better on third downs on both sides of the ball, and you can’t turn the football over
Chanticleernews3 days after the 24-31 opener
All the quarterbacks have done a nice job
Chanticleernews2 days before the opener
We’re going to be highly effective under center, in the gun, doing all those things
Chanticleernews2 days before the opener
Part two · The hire

Hires into jobs like this

Hired into 15–15, Regional Program III. Rough match, not calibrated yet — ranked on what the job inherited alone. Coaches hired into this same job aren’t used as comps.

Of the 5 closest comps, 2 left the program higher than he found it and 3 left it lower. Median stay: 6 seasons.
Every coach hired into a Regional Program III job since 1990 (87): typically -0.7 after year 1, +0.2 after year 2.
band ends: fewer than 15 hires still in the job+12+8+4what he inherited-4-8hiredyr 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr 6yr 7yr 8yr 9yr 10Chaump: -8.1 vs. inheritedGlenn: -1.6 vs. inheritedMcElwain: -2.1 vs. inheritedBlackney: +0.6 vs. inheritedCrowton: +5.8 vs. inheritedBeard: -1.3 vs. inherited▏ Crowton +5.8▏ Blackney +0.6Beard -1.3▏ Glenn -1.6▏ McElwain -2.1▏ Chaump -8.1
→ Navy, 1990
5–6 · 1–10 · 1–10 · 4–7 · 3–8
5 seasons
-8.1 vs. what he inherited
→ Wyoming, 2003
4–8 · 7–5 · 4–7 · 6–6 · 5–7 · 4–8
6 seasons
-1.6 vs. what he inherited
→ Central Michigan, 2019
8–6 · 3–3 · 9–4 · 4–8 · 5–7 · 4–8
6 seasons
-2.1 vs. what he inherited
→ Bowling Green, 1991
11–1 · 10–2 · 6–3 · 9–2 · 5–6 · 4–7 · 3–8 · 5–6 · 5–6 · 2–9
10 seasons
+0.6 vs. what he inherited
→ Louisiana Tech, 1996
6–5 · 9–2 · 6–6
3 seasons
+5.8 vs. what he inherited
Résumé
Previous stops: Missouri State (2023–2025)
No single prior tenure of 4+ seasons to profile.
The job he took
Followed Tim Beck (2023–2025), after the season
20–18
Program was sliding in the 2023–2025 run-up.
A Regional Program III job.
Rivalry record so far
Coastal-App State vs. App State0–1
How new coaches start here
  • Tim Beck20238–5+1.1
  • Joe Moglia20185–7-1.2

This season

3%chance he’s out by the end of this seasonCool78th-hottest of 137 FBS jobs
0%50%+

Our hot-seat model, on his record so far, the win chances for every game he has left, and his contract (a bigger buyout, relative to pay, makes a change costlier). Ranked against the 137 FBS head coaches with 3+ games this season.

His first rated season here.

His hot seat, week by week

The chance he’s out by the end of that season, as it stood after every week of his tenure here, by today’s model.

BoilingHotWarmCool20262026, week 3 (3 games in): 2%, 81st-hottest of 133 FBS jobs2026, week 4 (4 games in): 3%, 73rd-hottest of 137 FBS jobs2026, week 5 (5 games in): 4%, 72nd-hottest of 137 FBS jobs2026, week 6 (6 games in): 2%, 82nd-hottest of 137 FBS jobs2026, week 7 (7 games in): 3%, 78th-hottest of 137 FBS jobs2026, week 8 (7 games in): 3%, 78th-hottest of 137 FBS jobsnow

What drives his number

The biggest factors, each against the typical FBS job today.

  • ▼ Cooler
    Year 1 · tenure, which this model overrates
    (why?)

    Tenure is one of this model’s strongest inputs, but its weight was set when retirements like Nick Saban’s and Bob Stoops’ still counted as being pushed out, so it overstates how much tenure matters.

  • ▲ Hotter
    2-5, outscoring opponents by 2
  • ▼ Cooler
    No previous seasons here to judge him on

What happened to coaches like him, 2004–2025

A different comparison: past coaches, not today’s, grouped by one fact at a time. Neither line knows the games he has left or his contract, so they can sit above or below his chance.

Were 2-5 after 7 games
19% pushed out over results · of 339 coaches
Were in year 1, after 7 games
1% pushed out over results · of 523 coaches
The outcome
Pushed out over results — a firing, forced resignation, mutual parting or non-renewal, each read case by case. Leaving for a better job, or retiring on his own terms, doesn’t count.
Buyout
No figure on file for this coach. The salary database predates the last coaching carousel; a name mismatch is suppressed rather than misattributed.

How good is this number? Checked on every FBS coach from 2010 to 2025, with its percentages calibrated each season on earlier years only: they track what happened — coaches it put near 25% were out about a quarter of the time — and a version pricing the games left with the previous season’s ratings ranked jobs as well as the ranking this page used before. Each week it learns from coaches who were still on the job at that point, so a firing during the season counts. In the Boiling zone it has run a few points high. Every job, and the method.

Part three · The career

Coaching career

Steady no large move in either direction on our stature ladder

2026–now
Coastal Carolina
too new to grade yet

Followed Tim Beck (2023–2025).

Who they bring in

Brings in bigger-than-position-typical players than most.

Recruits younger transfers than most — more of a development bet.

Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 247 lbs
across 15 of 32 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+8.4 lbs
#33 of 255 · top quarter
Avg. class year
Fr
#255 of 255 · bottom quarter
Avg. portal rating
3.0★
rated arrivals only
Top states: FL (3), MO (2), TX (2), GA (2), KY (1)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
51.8
position-weighted
Talent lost
53.7
position-weighted
Net
-1.9
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Trever Jackson (QB) from Arkansas
Biggest loss: Tad Hudson (QB) to NC State
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Buys D-line via the portal
83%
#13 of 239 stints
Buys Safety via the portal
75%
#19 of 218 stints

AI Narratives — “Coastal Carolina — stat check”.

2-5
2025
Missouri State Steady
Regional Program V
Ryan Beard held Missouri State at Regional Program V for 1 season.

Succeeded by Casey Woods (2026–now).

Recruiter or developer?

Outperforms his recruiting talent on offense and underperforms his recruiting talent on defense.

Offense vs. talent
+36.2 pts
#10 of 208 · top quarter
Defense vs. talent
-23.2 pts
#183 of 208 · bottom quarter
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.
Roster construction · portal era

A typical amount of portal roster-building.

Portal arrivals
15
2.9★ avg rating
Portal departures
12
left via the portal
Net portal flow
+3
#74 of 187 FBS stints
Who they bring in

Brings in smaller-than-position-typical players than most.

Recruits younger transfers than most — more of a development bet.

Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 232 lbs
across 13 of 15 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
-4.7 lbs
#254 of 255 · bottom quarter
Avg. class year
So
#248 of 255 · bottom quarter
Top states: MO (3), FL (2), TX (1), NY (1), CA (1)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
36.5
position-weighted
Talent lost
39.3
position-weighted
Net
-2.9
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: DJ Wesolak (EDGE) from Oregon State
Biggest loss: Drew Viotto (QB) to British Columbia
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Buys Tackle via the portal
67%
#21 of 223 stints
Buys Tight end via the portal
67%
#23 of 188 stints
Grows Safety from high school
75%
#165 of 218 stints
Grows Wide receiver from high school
75%
#204 of 243 stints

AI Narratives — “Missouri State — stat check”.

7-5

Big games

Pick a job to see its years on their own.

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

One-score games
5-2
71.4% · margin ≤8
Against the spread
7-5
all 12 had a line
Performance by opponent class
Power Program
0-1 0.0%
National Program
1-1 50.0%
Regional Program
5-3 62.5%

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

0-1 against his rivals at Coastal Carolina.

Rivalry record
0-1
0.0% · 1 rival
One-score games
1-4
20.0% · margin ≤8
Against the spread
3-4
all 7 had a line
Rivalry ledger
Performance by opponent class
National Program
0-2 0.0%
Regional Program
1-3 25.0%

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

0-1 against his rivals.

Rivalry record
0-1
0.0% · 1 rival
One-score games
6-6
50.0% · margin ≤8
Against the spread
10-9
all 19 had a line
Rivalry ledger
Performance by opponent class
Power Program
0-1 0.0%
National Program
1-3 25.0%
Regional Program
6-6 50.0%

ATS is his record against the spread: did his team beat the closing betting line, winning by more than it or losing by less? Lines start in 2013; a dash means fewer than 6 of those games had one. One-score games carry no spread record: a big favorite that wins a close game has almost always failed to cover, so that number would say nothing about the coach.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next, against the FBS-wide average of 41% pass. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

40%50%FBS avg 41%Missouri State2025–20251 seasonCoastal Carolina2026–20261 season
Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered season

How good is he so far?

Too new to grade — in-season movement only
Coastal Carolina’s composite stature has fallen since preseason: 14.9 entering the year to 13.5 through week 8 (Regional Program IV) · #32 of 138 in movement since preseason · top quarter.
Part four · How he builds a team

Four numbers on how he actually stocks a roster, from signing day to draft day.

  1. 1His recruiting
  2. 2Who followed him
  3. 3Roster ownership
  4. 4Where he recruits

His recruiting, really

#133Nationally, his own classes

None of his Coastal Carolina classes is ranked and fully his yet. Across his other stops, his own classes averaged #133 nationally.

Missouri State
2025
#133
His class
Coastal Carolina
2026
#118
Transition

Across every program: 1 ranked class of his own, averaging #133 nationally.

His class — he had the full signing cycleTransition — he was hired mid-cycle

Rank is each signing class’s national recruiting rank (#1 is best). Only a class he had a full signing cycle to build counts as his; inherited and mid-transition classes still show here, faded, but stay out of the average.

Followed him here

Missouri State→Coastal Carolina2026
At least 4 players followed him from Missouri State to Coastal Carolina.
  • Ahmad Poole DL
  • DJ Wesolak DL
  • Mitchell Toney DL
  • Tristian Gardner WR

Players who transferred from his old program to his new one through the portal in the same year he made the move. Name-matching across data sources misses some, so every count is a floor, not an exact number.

Roster ownership

Roster ownership

65%His own players

of his 2026 roster arrived on his watch — 69 of 106 players. The other 37 are holdovers from before he was hired.

Arrived under him 69Inherited 37

Of his own players on this roster, 22% came through the transfer portal; the rest are non-portal arrivals (high-school signees, JUCO transfers, walk-ons).

Everyone he has brought in, 2026–2026Counting players who have since left: 22% of the 69 arrivals we can classify came through the portal.

“His own” means the player arrived while he was head coach; “inherited” means a predecessor brought him in.

Where he recruits

GATop state

is his biggest recruiting state: 5 of 17 signees (29%) across his 2026–2026 tenure, drawn from 8 states in all. Next: TX (4).

Where his signees came from, 2026–2026 (17 high-school, JUCO and prep signees)

53% of his signees come from GA and its 5 border states (SC 2, AL 1, FL 1).

1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee2 signees1 signee
By region
South
16
Northeast
1
Roster distance from campus (Brooks Stadium (SC))
median hometown distance
408 mi
within 100 mi
8%
within 500 mi
63%
beyond 1,000 mi
8%
98 of 106 roster players with a known hometown (92% coverage)

The map counts signed recruits across his tenure; the distance figures cover his current roster, transfers and walk-ons included. Two different groups, kept separate on purpose.