Regular season ·
Ohio beat Buffalo
Records are after this game.
Ohio beat Buffalo by 1 point in overtime.
How the game turned
Q4 14:47 Ohio 7, Buffalo 14
Ohio 28% to win
Vantrease 34-yd TD pass to Nunn, Buffalo goes ahead 14-7
Big moments
- 1Q2 12:30 · Ohio 0, Buffalo 7Ohio's win chance fell from 54% to 45%.Vantrease 4-yd TD pass to Johnson, Buffalo goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 4:35 · Ohio 0, Buffalo 7Ohio's win chance fell from 42% to 30%.Rourke incomplete to Luehrman, turnover on downs
- 3Q3 10:44 · Ohio 7, Buffalo 7Ohio's win chance rose from 40% to 56%.Rourke 5-yd TD run, ties it 7-7
- 4Q4 14:47 · Ohio 7, Buffalo 14Ohio's win chance fell from 62% to 28%.Vantrease 34-yd TD pass to Nunn, Buffalo goes ahead 14-7
- 5Q4 10:39 · Ohio 14, Buffalo 14Ohio's win chance rose from 26% to 56%.Allison 1-yd TD run, ties it 14-14
Ohio's lowest chance to win was 16 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 14:47 left in the 4th quarter, Buffalo's chance to win went from 38 percent to 72 percent when Buffalo scored a touchdown.
The score went from Ohio 7, Buffalo 7 to Ohio 7, Buffalo 14.
The play: Vantrease 34-yd TD pass to Nunn, Buffalo goes ahead 14-7.
What happened next
Ohio's next game: L 36-39 vs Northern Illinois, Oct 12
7 days laterBuffalo's next game: W 21-0 at Akron, Oct 19
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 5, 2019: Buffalo 27, Ohio 26, Oct 16, 2021
about 2 years later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.