cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jaylen King /Florida State

Jaylen King

QB · Florida State · Jr · #14

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

0 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD · 6 RUSH YDS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Florida State → Mercer for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Mercer

2025Florida State
2026Mercer

QB · FLORIDA STATE · ACC

Jaylen King

  • 3
  • #14
  • 6-4 | 215 lb
  • Folkston, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

17

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 99th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Florida State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey14
Measurements6-4 | 215 lb
HometownFolkston, GA
Primary teamFlorida State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Mercer 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Feb 4, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Florida State -> Mercer 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate
2025 East Tennessee State -> Florida State 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jaylen King

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 3 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 3 mentions · belief +0 · "Duke Blue Devils collapse in Elite Eight, blowing a 19-point lead as freshman Ca"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=3

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jaylen King

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jaylen King's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Florida State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load 3.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 0 0 TD | 0 INT
Completion rate 0.0% 0/1 completions
Yards/attempt 0.0 Explosiveness through the air
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Pocket-leaning

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

ATT
1 7th

Passing Production

TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
2 14th
YDS
6 26th
YPC
3.0 55th
TD
0 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 1 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 4W 66-10vs Kent State0/10000.04.2Season-high 0 yds
Total0/10000.04.2
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Florida State5-7HC: Mike Norvell · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Florida State--10.0%--0.0000.0----
Career1 loaded season--10.0%--0.0000.0----
SeasonTeam
2025Florida State263.00--
Career1 loaded season263.00--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 6 0 rush TD | #302/408 (26th pct)
Usage 3.8% 4.0% pass share | 3.8% rush share | #363/428 (15th pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Pass TD 0 #285/407 30th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 6 #302/408 26th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 3.8% #363/428 15th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 1 #378/407 7th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 6 #345/391 12th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.0 #185/407 55th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 2 #350/408 14th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.7% #295/428 31st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 4.6% #338/428 21st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 4.0% #360/428 16th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 3.8% #305/428 29th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 2.4% #381/428 11th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.0% #400/428 7th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 0.0% #394/428 8th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 1 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home1g0.00.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins1g0.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-71g0.00.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

17Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (99th). Concern: completion % (0th).

Interceptions#1 / 183 · 99th pct
0pass
Rush yards#142 / 183 · 23rd pct
6rush
Rush TDs#150 / 183 · 9th pct
0rush
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0pass
Pass TDs#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0pass
Yards / att#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0.0pass
Completion %#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0.0%pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Jaylen KingFlorida StateNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 57% simLogan FifeNew Mexico State· 53% simRyan BrownePurdue· 51% sim
Interceptions
99
King
44
Vattiato
5
Fife
14
Browne
Rush yards
23
King
27
Vattiato
20
Fife
61
Browne
Rush TDs
9
King
39
Vattiato
26
Fife
59
Browne
Pass yards
0
King
57
Vattiato
58
Fife
56
Browne
Pass TDs
0
King
64
Vattiato
45
Fife
33
Browne
Yards / att
0
King
13
Vattiato
19
Fife
23
Browne
Completion %
0
King
41
Vattiato
13
Fife
29
Browne

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Norvell

Pass share

40.3%

339 pass / 502 run

Plays / game

70.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.5%

282 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Mike Norvell
Florida State

Played his entire career under Mike Norvell.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFolkston, GA
Height6'4"
Weight215 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey14

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Florida State ACC QB 3 No. 14 | 6-4 | 215 lb | Folkston, GA