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SMU's SP+ ranking drops 11 spots ahead of 2026 season

Active·updated last week·
Sources:OrSBon3.com, r/SMU fan, Sports Illustrated, bcsnn.com
  • Coverage leans near-unanimous belief
  • Win total 8.5 — line flat since open
  • SMU enters 2026 — the 11-spot SP+ drop from 2024 raises one question: can Rhett Lashlee…

How past storylines turned out

Answered

SMU's climb into dynasty-caliber territory held for another season.

Died down

SMU's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Died down

SMU's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

How it developed newest first

3 beats on record

SMU: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

· counted

SMU enters 2026 rated No. 23 in 2025 SP+ (+13.4), down 11 spots from 2024.

why it mattersSMU enters 2026 — the 11-spot SP+ drop from 2024 raises one question: can Rhett Lashlee’s 4th season sustain the 9-4 winning record and Pony Express identity after a CFP appearance? ~ our read

· counted

SMU has climbed into dynasty-caliber territory — into the top 8% of FBS by power rating over the last three seasons, up from the top 16% a year ago.

a 29-9 record over the last three regular seasons

why it mattersSMU has reached elite-tier consistency — Rhett Lashlee's fourth season demands whether the 29-9 run is the start of sustained dominance or a fleeting peak. ~ our read

· counted

Watch next

The non-obvious thing to track

SMU's drop from No. 23 in 2024 to No. 23 in 2025 SP+ suggests a lack of meaningful improvement despite the same ranking, hinting at stagnation in key areas like depth and consistency. Watch whether SMU's early-season performance against ranked opponents in September matches the 2025 SP+ projection.

~ our read

Rooms tap to switch

“Explaining A Mess: How SMU is managing transfer portal after BJ Edwards departure”
on3.com · 2026-08-03 · read ↗

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“Intel: LSU, Oklahoma, SMU, Texas, Texas A&M, Texas Tech are leading for elite 2028 prospects”
on3.com · 2026-08-03 · read ↗
“SMU looking to bring back B.J. Edwards who else could return with an additional fifth year to the class of 2022.”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-08-03 · read ↗
“Texas Beats Out Late Pushes From Mizzou, Texas A&M, And SMU, To Land Four Star RB”
bcsnn.com · 2026-08-02 · read ↗

The 'the projection is underselling us' read — fans betting the season beats the preview number.

No coverage in this room yet.

The 'the model has seen the tape' counter — efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.

"I've been thinking about this a lot lately. I'm working on an independent research project about how adults in DFW build friendships, find community, and what actually helps acquai"
r/SMU ~ fan take
"Hi everyone! I am about to start applying to college and was wondering if I should pull the trigger and ED SMU. It’s my top choice. Im top 28% of my class, I’ll be going test optio"
r/SMU ~ fan take

This event was in 66 of 281 board posts (23%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

Board health this week (57 posts): 16% positive · 42% neutral · 42% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

The range consensus, not a gap

Consensus — every take we've captured on this leans the same way.
The leading take
“Intel: LSU, Oklahoma, SMU, Texas, Texas A&M, Texas Tech are leading for elite 2028 prospects”
— on3.com · 2026-08-03 counted
We track for a counter-narrative continuously — this section expands the moment one shows up in the coverage.

Onward

How we know: every claim wears a tag — counted for provable facts (post counts, records, market lines) · ~ our read for inferences. Fan posts are real community excerpts shown as texture — not editorial characterizations. Assembled 2026-08-04.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site