Butch Davis
Followed Ron Turner. Butch Davis moved Florida International from Regional Program IV to Regional Program III in 5 seasons.
Career arc
His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.
Reached Blue Blood in his 1st career season — faster than 59% of the 100 FBS coaches who have ever reached Blue Blood (rank #1 of 100 by seasons-to-arrival).
Style position and drift
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
6–14 against his rivals. Just 2–8 against Frank Beamer.
His own effect, isolated
A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.
Model fit as of 2026-09-04.
Coaching career
1st-best Florida International tenure of 6 by the numbers.
Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on offense and underperforms his recruiting talent on defense.
Followed Ron Turner (2013–2016) · succeeded by Mike MacIntyre (2022–2024).
| Season | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||||
| Record | 8–5 | 9–4 | 6–7 | 0–5 | 1–11 | |
| Postseason | L bowl | W bowl | L bowl | — | — | |
| Recruiting rank | #83 | #69 | #88 | #74 | #83 | |
| Style — pass rate | ||||||
| Pass rate | 44.4 | 44.3 | 44.4 | 41.9 | 50.5 | |
| Coordinators | ||||||
| OC | Rich Skrosky | Rich Skrosky | Rich Skrosky | Rich Skrosky | Andrew Breiner | |
| DC | Brent Guy | Brent Guy | Jerod Kruse / Jeff Copp | Jerod Kruse / Jeff Copp | Everett Withers | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||||
| Offense | 62 | 93 | 47 | 8 | 28 | |
| Defense | 10 | 31 | 51 | 56 | 3 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only) | ||||||
| 1st-down pass% | 40.5 | 37.9 | 38.6 | 37.9 | 41.2 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 40.2 | 28.8 | 39.2 | 45.0 | 46.9 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 24.3 | 40.5 | 31.8 | 30.0 | 12.1 | |
4 NFL Draft picks: Jonnu Smith (2017), Alex Mcgough (2018), James Morgan (2020), Stantley Thomas-Oliver III (2020)
14th-best North Carolina tenure of 17 by the numbers.
Followed John Bunting (2001–2006) · succeeded by Everett Withers (2011–2011).
18 NFL Draft picks: Kentwan Balmer (2008), Hilee Taylor (2008), Hakeem Nicks (2009), Richard Quinn (2009), Brandon Tate (2009), Garrett Reynolds (2009), Brooks Foster (2009), E.J. Wilson (2010) + 10 more
3rd-best Miami tenure of 20 by the numbers.
Followed Dennis Erickson (1989–1994) · succeeded by Larry Coker (2001–2006).
32 NFL Draft picks: Warren Sapp (1995), Patrick Riley (1995), Chris T. Jones (1995), Larry Jones (1995), James Stewart (1995), C.J. Richardson (1995), A.C. Tellison (1995), Yatil Green (1997) + 24 more