Jake Dickert

Head coach · Wake Forest
2nd season · since 2025 · Washington State before

This week · as of Wed Nov 4

7-1, won 5 straight, on track for 10-2 in the regular season.

Now

Career arc

Stature score reached, by season of his head-coaching careerFBS medianWashington StateWake ForestWashingtonWashingtonBlue Bloodpermanent top tierPower Programperennial contenderNational Programrespectable, streakyRegional Programthe building-block levelWashington State when he took over: 27.6 (National Program III), its final 2020 readingtook overWashington State, 2021: 3-3, National Program IIIWashington State, 2021: 3-3, National Program III20213-3Washington State, 2022: 7-6, National Program III20227-6Washington State, 2023: 5-7, National Program III20235-7Washington State, 2024: 8-4, Regional Program IWashington State, 2024: 8-4, Regional Program I20248-4-0.8Wake Forest when he took over: 26.6 (National Program III), its final 2024 readingtook overWake Forest, 2025: 9-4, National Program IIIWake Forest, 2025: 9-4, National Program III20259-4Wake Forest, 2026: 7-1, National Program IIIWake Forest, 2026: 7-1, National Program III20267-1+1.4best: 2021gray dashed: rival programs · ○ the program when he took over · Dashed segments are program changes — spacing is not proportional to calendar time

Bowls and playoffs: 1-2

Washington State2021Sun BowlL 21-242022LA BowlL 6-29Wake Forest2025Duke's Mayo BowlW 43-29

This week Wed Nov 4

  • Last gameW 51-7 vs. Virginia Sat Oct 31
  • This season7-1 won 5 straight
  • On track for10-2 regular season
  • Nextvs. Merrimack Sat Nov 7
  • Stature58th of 138 FBS programs

What the result changed

  • Playoff odds 9% → 14% CFB Zeitgeist forecast, before and after

Saturday: vs. Merrimack

Sat Nov 7, 3:30 pm ET ACC Network · Merrimack is 4-5 · Wake Forest’s chance to win: 100% (the site’s model)

His week

Several stories this week →

The headlines, Nov 1–4 from a few outlets

On the podcasts

Fans are feeling good about Wake Forest

Does submitting your 1st quarter grades after you submitted your ED application help the decision?

Wake Forest is the 2nd best team in the ACC. HC and Offensive Coordinator are stars! Watch

Hire the Wake Forest coach …what he has done there is amazing

Fan mood · last 3 weeks · more upbeat than 3 in 4 FBS fan bases

Offense: 8th of 138 per play. Defense: 23rd.

Offense, per play8thOffense, points per trip inside the 407thDefense, per play23rdDefense, big plays allowed1stWorstBest
Offense, per play8th of 138Offense, points per trip inside the 407th of 138Defense, per play23rd of 138Defense, big plays allowed1st of 138WorstBest
Through 8 games. Each tick is an FBS team, adjusted for opponent strength (CFB Zeitgeist model); the dot is Wake Forest. The other two rows are where Wake Forest stands furthest from the middle. Early-season numbers move a lot.

4 games left

  1. Sat Nov 7vs. Merrimack (4-5)ACC Network100%
  2. Sat Nov 14at SMU (6-2)66%
  3. Sat Nov 21at Georgia Tech (2-6)96%
  4. Sat Nov 28vs. Duke (6-2)73%

Percent: Wake Forest’s chance to win, from the site’s model. Records are through today. Networks as announced; the rest are set closer to kickoff.

How the season got here

Where Wake Forest stood among 138 FBS programs by stature after each game (1st is the highest; the CFB Zeitgeist ledger).

59th66th72ndPreseason69thAkron W 38-16Akron W 38-16W 38-16Akron68thPurdue W 38-36Purdue W 38-36W 38-36Purdue68thMiami L 20-33Miami L 20-33L 20-33Miami68thLouisville W 30-27Louisville W 30-27W 30-27Louisville67thStanford W 57-3Stanford W 57-3W 57-3Stanford66thNC State W 38-14NC State W 38-14W 38-14NC State65thCalifornia W 41-7California W 41-7W 41-7California64thVirginia W 51-7Virginia W 51-7W 51-7Virginia62nd
  1. Oct 26–Nov 1W 51-7 vs. Virginia6 headlines · 62nd of 138Wake Forest HC Jake Dickert on being ranked No. 14, QB Gio Lopez & more ESPN
  2. Oct 19–25No game4 headlines · 65th of 138Maryland coaching candidates: Jake Dickert, Billy Napier among options to replace Mike Locksley CBS Sports
  3. Oct 12–18W 41-7 at California3 headlines · 64th of 138
  4. Oct 5–11W 38-14 at NC State1 headline · 83rd of 138
  5. Sep 28–Oct 4W 57-3 vs. Stanford6 headlines · 59th of 138Wake Forest Football coach Jake Dickert press conference Q&A following 57-3 victory over Stanford 247Sports
  6. Sep 21–27 · rebuiltW 30-27 at Louisville5 headlines · 60th of 138Wake Forest head coach Jake Dickert post-Louisville win press conference 247Sports

Each week as this page showed it at the time. Weeks marked rebuilt came before this page existed: they were built afterward from only what was known by the end of that week.

Watch the biggest plays from Wake Forest’s games, ranked by how much each moved the chance to win.

Poach watch

This winter

15%chance he leaves this winter for a head-coaching job elsewhere, or an NFL coordinator jobNoticed9th-highest of 132 FBS head coaches
0%50%+

Our poach model, on his record so far, the win chances for every game he has left, his program, his pay and his background. Ranked against the 132 FBS head coaches this season. The zone words describe the market’s interest; none of them says he is leaving.

What drives his number

The biggest factors in his profile, each against the typical FBS head coach today. The games he has left are priced into the number, not listed here.

  • ▲ Higher
    Age 43 · neither at his alma mater nor in the state he was born in
  • ▲ Higher
    His team is 7-1, outscoring opponents by 21.2 points a game · AP-ranked
How good is this number? It ranks a head coach who leaves for another head-coaching job ahead of one who stays 78 to 82% of the time, and its average came within a point of the share who actually left. What it can’t do

Tested on every FBS head coach from 2012 through 2025, each season scored by a model fit only on the seasons before it. From three games on, given one coach who left for a head-coaching job elsewhere or an NFL coordinator job and one who stayed, it ranked the one who left ahead 79 to 82% of the time; in a season’s first two games, 78%. Its average chance came within a point of the share who actually left. It counts a move a coach makes while he still holds the job; when his school ends it, that doesn’t count, even if another school then hires him.

  • The live number prices the games he has left with the power model’s ratings from this season. The test priced them with each team’s rating from the season before, because ratings made during past seasons were not kept, so this live version could not be replayed.
  • Programs new to FBS have no FBS record before this season in the data it reads, so their coaches are scored without one.
  • It is frozen: it learns nothing from 2026 until a deliberate refit.
  • A coach hired in December needs his background (age, alma mater, the state he was born in) added before his first game, or he shows as not rated.