Todd Graham
Followed Nick Rolovich. Todd Graham held Hawai'i at Regional Program IV for 2 seasons.
Career arc
His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.
Reached Power Program in his 9th career season — faster than 10% of the 395 FBS coaches who have ever reached Power Program (rank #332 of 395 by seasons-to-arrival).
Style position and drift
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
6–5 against his rivals. Winless in 3 tries against Clay Helton.
His own effect, isolated
A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.
Model fit as of 2026-09-04.
Coaching career
9th-best Hawai'i tenure of 12 by the numbers.
Outperforms his recruiting talent on offense and performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on defense.
Followed Nick Rolovich (2016–2019) · succeeded by Timmy Chang (2022–2026).
| Season | 2020 | 2021 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||
| Record | 5–4 | 6–7 | |
| Postseason | W bowl | — | |
| Recruiting rank | #126 | #126 | |
| Style — pass rate | |||
| Pass rate | 49.3 | 51.7 | |
| Coordinators | |||
| OC | GJ Kinne / Tony Hull | Bo Graham | |
| DC | Jacob Yoro / Victor Santa Cruz | Trent Figg | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||
| Offense | 70 | 45 | |
| Defense | 32 | 74 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only) | |||
| 1st-down pass% | 46.9 | 43.7 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 41.9 | 49.1 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 20.0 | 24.3 | |
Barely touches the portal — recruits and develops his own.
Brings in smaller-than-position-typical players than most.
Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.
1 NFL Draft pick: Cole McDonald (2020)
6th-best Arizona State tenure of 19 by the numbers.
Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on offense and underperforms his recruiting talent on defense.
Followed Dennis Erickson (2007–2011) · succeeded by Herm Edwards (2018–2022).
| Season | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||||
| Record | 8–5 | 10–4 | 10–3 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 7–6 | |
| Postseason | — | — | W bowl | L bowl | — | CFP loss | |
| Recruiting rank | — | — | #23 | #19 | #24 | #32 | |
| Style — pass rate | |||||||
| Pass rate | — | — | 47.9 | 49.9 | 47.2 | 42.4 | |
| Coordinators | |||||||
| OC | — | — | Mike Norvell | Mike Norvell | Chip Lindsey | Billy Napier | |
| DC | — | — | Chris Ball / Keith Patterson | Chris Ball / Keith Patterson | Keith Patterson | Phil Bennett | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||||
| Offense | — | — | 52 | 60 | 28 | 73 | |
| Defense | — | — | 79 | 13 | 7 | 24 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only) | |||||||
| 1st-down pass% | — | — | 42.4 | 41.6 | 39.8 | 39.7 | |
| Red-zone pass% | — | — | 44.1 | 49.7 | 27.0 | 33.1 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | — | — | 25.0 | 22.4 | 26.3 | 31.9 | |
15 NFL Draft picks: Brock Osweiler (2012), Omar Bolden (2012), Will Sutton (2014), Carl Bradford (2014), Marion Grice (2014), Damarious Randall (2015), Jaelen Strong (2015), Jamil Douglas (2015) + 7 more
13th-best Pittsburgh tenure of 23 by the numbers.
Followed Dave Wannstedt (2005–2010) · succeeded by Paul Chryst (2012–2014).
5 NFL Draft picks: Jonathan Baldwin (2011), Jabaal Sheard (2011), Dion Lewis (2011), Jason Pinkston (2011), Greg Romeus (2011)
14th-best Tulsa tenure of 22 by the numbers.
Followed Steve Kragthorpe (2003–2006) · succeeded by Bill Blankenship (2011–2014).
2 NFL Draft picks: Chris Chamberlain (2008), Charles Clay (2011)
11th-best Rice tenure of 16 by the numbers.
Followed Ken Hatfield (1994–2005) · succeeded by David Bailiff (2007–2017).