cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Bryce Carpenter /Coastal Carolina

Bryce Carpenter

QB · Coastal Carolina · Sr · #12

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSCoastal Carolina 2022 alumnus

QB · COASTAL CAROLINA · SUN BELT

Bryce Carpenter

  • 4
  • #12
  • 6-1 | 200 lb
  • Sarasota, FL

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#452

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2022
4832021
53.02022

-89%

Sharp dropoff (-89%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★
#2612 national
CFB
College
Coastal Carolina
2021–2022
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey12
Measurements6-1 | 200 lb
HometownSarasota, FL
Primary teamCoastal Carolina

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 2-star No. 2612 recruit
Composite rating 0.7882 HighSchool
Signed with Coastal Carolina 2018
Origin Venice Venice, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2018 2-star | 0.7882 No. 2612 recruit | HighSchool | Coastal Carolina

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2022 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#452Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#457Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★☆☆☆

to Coastal Carolina

Composite

0.7882

#2612 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Bryce Carpenter

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Bryce Carpenter

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Bryce Carpenter's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Coastal Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #452 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 15.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2022 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2022 season snapshot | final

2022 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 53 1 TD | 0 INT | #307/382 (20th pct)
Completion rate 66.7% 4/6 completions | #98/383 (75th pct)
Yards/attempt 8.8 Explosiveness through the air | #56/382 (86th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Efficient | Vertical threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

EfficientVertical threat

2022 Season · Final

2022 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
4 19th
ATT
6 22nd
CMP%
66.7% 75th
Y/A
8.8 86th

Passing Production

YDS
53 20th
TD
1 44th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
39 62nd
YDS
94 66th
YPC
2.4 45th
TD
1 63rd

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Coastal Carolina10-2HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
2022Coastal Carolina9-4HC: Chad Staggs · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2022Coastal Carolina4666.7%538.810195.9----
2021Coastal Carolina416959.4%4837.041134.5----
Career2 loaded seasons457560.0%5367.151139.4----
SeasonTeam
2022Coastal Carolina39942.41--
2021Coastal Carolina542174.03--
Career2 loaded seasons933113.34--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 94 1 rush TD | #138/408 (66th pct)
Usage 15.0% 22.0% pass share | 10.5% rush share | #239/428 (44th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.32 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #62/200 (70th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 53 #307/382 20th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 1 #228/407 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 4 #310/383 19th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 66.7% #98/383 75th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 8.8 #56/382 86th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 94 #138/408 66th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.32 #62/200 70th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 51 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 15.0% #239/428 44th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 6 #319/407 22nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 39 #156/408 62nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 12 #261/391 34th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 2.4 #226/407 45th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #151/408 63rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 24.5% #223/428 48th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 22.0% #247/428 43rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 21.6% #234/428 46th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 16.9% #222/428 48th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 12.1% #244/428 43rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 11.7% #244/428 43rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 10.5% #151/428 65th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.37 #18/140 88th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 38 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/258 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2022

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tim Beck

Pass share

46.3%

399 pass / 463 run

Plays / game

66.3

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.2%

290 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2022

2 coaches
2021
Jamey Chadwell
Coastal Carolina
2022
Chad Staggs
Coastal Carolina
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Jamey Chadwell → Chad Staggs. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSarasota, FL
Height6'1"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2022 Coastal Carolina QB4 #452 #457 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt
2021 Coastal Carolina QB4 #88 #66 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2022 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt QB 4 No. 12 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Sarasota, FL
2021 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt QB 4 No. 12 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Sarasota, FL