Dalton Sturm

QB · UTSA 2017 · #14

Last confirmed: UTSA, 2017. No 2026 box-score games on record.

6′2″ · 205 lb · Goliad, TX

Dalton Sturm: QB · UTSA · #14.

Players he’s like

Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.

Kilton AndersonCoastal Carolina · 2018 · 81% season match
Jason DriskelFlorida Atlantic · 2017 · 80% season match
Marquise WilliamsNorth Carolina · 2014 · 79% season match
Tyler JonesTexas State · 2014 · 79% season match
Derrius VickOhio · 2014 · 77% season match

Dalton Sturm

QB · UTSA · #14

Extends plays with his feet until something opens up. Four seasons at UTSA, two different head coaches: Larry Coker and Frank Wilson. On tape: 367 passing yards and 28 rushing yards against Southern Miss, Week 6, 2017.

How he plays

Play style

Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.

Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long

Where the completions actually land

61.4%Completion %

29.8%Conversion/dropback

48.1%Land short of sticks

0INTs

61.4% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 29.8% conversion-per-dropback — 48.1% of completions land short of the sticks.

Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design

Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration

Who gets the tough yard

6/22Inside-5 share

6 of the team's 22 inside-the-5 carries (27.3%).

News and fans

No outlet on our list has written about him by name this season.

UTSA in the news

UTSA to wear helmet decals for tributeUTSA Athletics Oct 23

Where to follow him

Career stats

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Season	Team
2017	UTSA	185	297	62.3%	2,185	7.4	15	5	137.4	47
2016	UTSA	169	299	56.5%	2,170	7.3	20	6	135.5	24
2015	UTSA	125	212	59.0%	1,354	6.4	13	7	126.2	16
2014	UTSA	3	3	100.0%	59	19.7	1	0	375.2	--
Career		482	811	59.4%	5,768	7.1	49	18	134.7	30

Season	Team
2017	UTSA	120	545	4.5	2
2016	UTSA	110	313	2.8	4
2015	UTSA	128	361	2.8	1
2014	UTSA	2	8	4.0	0
Career		360	1,227	3.4	7

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2017 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 2	W 17-10@ Baylor	15/20	155	2	0	7.8	81.0
Wk 3	W 51-17vs Southern	19/22	292	4	0	13.3	99.4	4 TD passes
Wk 4	W 44-14@ Texas State	17/25	212	0	0	8.5	55.3
Wk 6	L 29-31vs Southern Miss	27/43	367	3	1	8.5	63.2	Season-high 367 yds
Wk 7	L 26-29@ North Texas	13/24	215	2	0	9.0	59.2
Wk 8	W 20-7vs Rice	12/21	134	1	0	6.4	62.1
Wk 9	W 31-14@ UTEP	18/30	188	1	1	6.3	58.9
Wk 10	L 7-14@ Florida International	13/21	105	1	0	5.0	40.0
Wk 11	L 19-24vs UAB	17/37	162	1	1	4.4	45.3
Wk 12	W 9-7vs Marshall	25/38	264	0	0	6.9	70.2
Wk 13	L 6-20@ Louisiana Tech	9/16	91	0	2	5.7	32.6
Total		185/297	2185	15	5	7.4	—

Signature game

Week 3 · 2017

W 51-17

vs Southern

292 yds · 4 TD · 0 INT · QBR 99.4 · 35 rush yds (4 car) · 1 TD

Dominant 34-point win at home against Southern.

With Y. Routsas — 39 yards per punt · 3 punts · 51 long · J. Rhodes — 61 rush yds (10 car) · 1 TD · 2 rec · 30 yds

Signature plays

The plays that mattered most

Week 6 · Southern Miss · 3rd and 21 · Q2 · EPA +4.51Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 21 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
Week 13 · Louisiana Tech · 1st and 10 · Q4 · EPA −4.48Dalton Sturm pass intercepted, touchback. Amik Robertson return for no gain
Week 6 · Southern Miss · 1st and 10 · Q3 · EPA −4.43Dalton Sturm pass intercepted Curtis Mikell return for 61 yds to the TexSA 39
Week 7 · North Texas · 2nd and 7 · Q4 · EPA +4.14Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 46 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
Week 10 · Florida International · 3rd and 18 · Q1 · EPA +4.06Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jr. Thomas for 27 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a
Week 3 · Southern · 3rd and 21 · Q1 · EPA +4.05Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 23 yds to the Sthrn 38 for a

4 more plays

Week 11 · UAB · 4th and 13 · Q4 · EPA +3.78Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 15 yds to the UAB 42 for a
Week 9 · UTEP · 1st and 10 · Q2 · EPA +3.69Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 48 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
Week 8 · Rice · 3rd and 4 · Q4 · EPA +3.59Dalton Sturm run for 33 yds to the Rice 35 for a
Week 8 · Rice · 2nd and 14 · Q3 · EPA +3.48Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 26 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)

Passing profile

Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

185/297 (62.3%) · 15 TD · 5 INT

297 of 297 attempts matched to play-by-play

Adjusted ANY/A

6.7276 of 205 QBs

Sack rate

7.2%139 of 205 QBs

Sacked on 7.2% of dropbacks (139 of 205) — and still 76 of 205 in Adjusted ANY/A.

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Short

0–9 yds

45%of completions

84 comp4.9 yds avg1 TD

Middle

10–19 yds

41%of completions

76 comp14.0 yds avg5 TD

Deep

20+ yds

14%of completions

25 comp28.5 yds avg9 TD

Overall 62.3% completion on 297 attempts · 25 deep completions averaging 28.5 yds.

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2017 baseline

No situation moves him more than 35 percentile points from his baseline.

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-15 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 10/112 (8.9%) · league sack rate 5.0%

Down 2

-18 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 6/99 (6.1%) · league sack rate 5.1%

Down 3+

+35 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 6/97 (6.2%) · league sack rate 8.3%

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Teams and coaches

2014UTSA4-8HC: Larry Coker · Run-leaning

2015UTSA3-9HC: Larry Coker · Run-leaning

2016UTSA6-7HC: Frank Wilson · Run-leaning

2017UTSA6-5HC: Frank Wilson · Run-leaning

Our ratings

Show the ratings

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interception rate (82nd percentile). Strength: rush yards (89th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Interception rate#35 / 187 · 82nd pct

1.7%

EPA / dropback#51 / 187 · 73rd pct

0.28

Success rate#61 / 187 · 68th pct

42.8%

Sack rate#127 / 187 · 32nd pct

7.2%

Explosive rate#131 / 187 · 30th pct

8.4%

Box-score rates (8)

Rush yards#20 / 179 · 89th pct

545

Completion %#51 / 179 · 71st pct

62.3%

Interceptions#53 / 179 · 65th pct

Pass yards#68 / 179 · 62nd pct

2185

Pass TDs#67 / 179 · 61st pct

Yards / att#72 / 179 · 58th pct

7.4

Rush TDs#82 / 179 · 48th pct

Fumbles lost#81 / 163 · 39th pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / dropback

58th → 73rd percentile

Success rate

23rd → 68th percentile

Explosive rate

35th → 30th percentile

Sack rate

7th → 32nd percentile

Interception rate

60th → 82nd percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Zeitgeist Passer Rating

2017 · our own passing-efficiency number, shown next to the 1979 formula it does not replace.

High confidence: 308 dropbacks

47Zeitgeist Passer Rating77th of 142 FBS QBs

NCAA passer rating 137.4 60th of 142 FBS QBs

ZPR ranks him 17 places lower than passer rating does: passer rating cannot see sacks, and he takes one on 7.1% of dropbacks.

Positive-play rate weight 24%

46.7%69th pct of FBS QBs

share of dropbacks that gained expected points · -0.3% schedule adj.

Yards per attempt weight 56%

7.0245th pct of FBS QBs

sacks excluded · -0.1 schedule adj.

Sack rate weight 21% (penalty)

8.0%23th pct of FBS QBs

the input passer rating cannot see · +0.8% schedule adj.

Opponent-adjusted; garbage time excluded (12 of 320 dropbacks dropped). 50 = FBS average; the number is pulled toward 50 when the sample is thin. How ZPR is built.

Splits

Home and road splits, scheme and staff

Splits · Per-game

2017 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home5g	244	1.8	7.9	0.4
Road6g	161	1.0	7.0	0.5

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-75g	248	2.2	9.4	0.2
Weeks 8+6g	157	0.7	5.8	0.7

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2017 season

Head Coach

Frank Wilson

Pass share

40.7%

307 pass / 447 run

Plays / game

68.5

11 games

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Awards

Player standing · 2017

Impact starter

297 pass attempts and 120 carries in 11 games, about as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week.

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex