cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ese Dubre /Stanford

Ese Dubre

LB · Stanford · Sr · #30

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

13 TACKLES · 0.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Stanford for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Stanford for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · Stanford

Returning around him

  • 19% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 2 Stanford players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -6 net (6 in / 12 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Stanford · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #46 · 2026 recruiting class #56

LB · STANFORD · ACC

Ese Dubre

  • 4
  • #30
  • 6-2 | 260 lb
  • Powder Springs, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

33

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 51st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13125

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#683 national
CFB
College
Stanford
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey30
Measurements6-2 | 260 lb
HometownPowder Springs, GA
Primary teamStanford

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 683 recruit
Composite rating 0.8704 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin McEachern Powder Springs, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8704 No. 683 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13125Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13412Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8704

#683 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ese Dubre

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ese Dubre

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
13Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Per game
1Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
19Tackles
1.4Tackles for loss
0.7Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 13): needs 16.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 13): needs 21.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 1.4/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 2.4/game over remaining 4.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Ese Dubre is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Stanford's defense, with 0.5 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13125 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.5 sacks | 1.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 13 4 solo | #2550/4942 (48th pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 0.5 Pass-rush finish | #1501/4972 (70th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
13 48th
SOLO
4 34th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.5 70th
QBH
1 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 2L 3-27@ BYU110.00.00
Wk 4L 20-48@ Virginia200.00.00Season-high 2 tackles
Wk 5W 30-29vs San José State100.00.00
Wk 8W 20-13vs Florida State210.00.00
Wk 9L 7-42@ Miami100.00.00
Wk 10L 20-35vs Pittsburgh210.00.00
Wk 11L 15-20@ North Carolina100.50.00
Wk 13W 31-10vs California210.50.50
Wk 14L 20-49vs Notre Dame100.00.00
Total1341.00.50
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Stanford3-9HC: David Shaw · Balanced, slow tempo
2023Stanford3-9HC: Troy Taylor · Balanced
2024Stanford3-9HC: Troy Taylor · Run-leaning
2025Stanford4-8HC: Frank Reich · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Stanford1341.00.5------
2024Stanford830.00.0------
2023Stanford420.00.0------
2021Stanford110.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons26101.00.5------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 13 #2550/4942 48th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.5 #1501/4972 70th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 4 #3005/4584 34th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g1.60.10.10.0
Road4g1.20.10.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins3g1.70.20.20.0
Losses6g1.30.10.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-73g1.30.00.00.0
Weeks 8+6g1.50.20.10.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

33Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: solo tackles (4th).

QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Sacks#1367 / 2975 · 51st pct
0.5defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe
Tackles#2550 / 2975 · 13th pct
13defe
Solo tackles#2803 / 2975 · 4th pct
4defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Ese DubreStanfordTyler MartinMassachusetts· 47% simMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 45% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 45% sim
QB hurries
55
Dubre
22
Martin
88
Parker
22
Vaughns
Sacks
51
Dubre
24
Martin
80
Parker
63
Vaughns
Forced fumbles
47
Dubre
47
Martin
47
Parker
47
Vaughns
Tackles for loss
28
Dubre
63
Martin
87
Parker
85
Vaughns
Passes defended
18
Dubre
67
Martin
18
Parker
48
Vaughns
Tackles
13
Dubre
98
Martin
98
Parker
99
Vaughns
Solo tackles
4
Dubre
87
Martin
96
Parker
96
Vaughns

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Frank Reich

Pass share

50.4%

391 pass / 385 run

Plays / game

64.7

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

12.5%

337 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

3 coaches
2021
David Shaw
Stanford
2023
Troy Taylor
Stanford
era →
2024
Troy Taylor
Stanford
2025
Frank Reich
Stanford
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: David Shaw, Troy Taylor, and Frank Reich. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPowder Springs, GA
Height6'2"
Weight260 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey30

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Stanford LB4 #13125 #13412 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Stanford LB4 #15118 #15230 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 Stanford LB4 #14274 #14374 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12
2021 Stanford LB4 #12836 #12709 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Stanford ACC LB 4 No. 30 | 6-2 | 260 lb | Powder Springs, GA
2024 Stanford ACC LB 4 No. 30 | 6-2 | 260 lb | Powder Springs, GA
2023 Stanford Pac-12 LB 4 No. 30 | 6-2 | 260 lb | Powder Springs, GA
2022 Stanford Pac-12 LB 4 No. 30 | 6-2 | 260 lb | Powder Springs, GA
2021 Stanford Pac-12 LB 4 No. 30 | 6-2 | 260 lb | Powder Springs, GA