cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Isaiah Spiller /Texas A&M

Isaiah Spiller

RB · Texas A&M · So · #28

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLLos Angeles — drafted 2022, Rd 4, Pick 18, #123 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Los AngelesEntering 5th NFL season

#123Rd 4 · Pick 18
Los AngelesEntering 5th NFL season

RB · TEXAS A&M · SEC

Isaiah Spiller

  • 2
  • #28
  • 6-1 | 225 lb
  • Spring, TX

CFB Zeitgeist RB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#112

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#152 national
CFB
College
Texas A&M
2021
NFL
NFL Draft
R4 &middot; #123
Los Angeles &middot; 2022

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey28
Measurements6-1 | 225 lb
HometownSpring, TX
Primary teamTexas A&M

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 152 recruit
Composite rating 0.9351 HighSchool
Signed with Texas A&M 2019
Origin Klein Collins Spring, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 4-star | 0.9351 No. 152 recruit | HighSchool | Texas A&M

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2021 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#112Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#109Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Texas A&M

Composite

0.9351

#152 national

NFL Draft

2022 · Rd 4, Pick 18

#123 overall · Los Angeles

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Isaiah Spiller

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Isaiah Spiller

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why this is more than a rushing profile

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Isaiah Spiller is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 1,011 rushing yards, 25 catches, and 0 return yards for Texas A&M. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.

Current place #112 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 26.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 152 recruit

2021 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2021 season snapshot | final

2021 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 1,200 1,011 rush | 189 rec | #39/735 (95th pct)
Rush TD 6 179 carries | #83/739 (89th pct)
Yards/carry 5.6 Per-rush efficiency | #172/735 (77th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorsePassing-game back

2021 Season · Final

2021 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
179 95th
YDS
1,011 95th
YPC
5.6 77th
TD
6 89th

Receiving

REC
25 91st
YDS
189 88th
YPR
7.6 58th
TD
1 89th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Texas A&M8-4HC: Jimbo Fisher · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2021Texas A&M1791,0115.66--
Career1 loaded season1791,0115.66--
SeasonTeam
2021Texas A&M251897.61--
Career1 loaded season251897.61--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 25 189 rec yds | #51/552 (91st pct)
Usage 26.9% 45.1% rush share | #28/738 (96th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.22 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #43/362 (88th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 1,011 #39/735 95th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 6 #83/739 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.6 #172/735 77th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 25 #51/552 91st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 189 #68/548 88th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.22 #43/362 88th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 175 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 26.9% #28/738 96th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 179 #40/739 95th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 67 #72/733 90th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 19 #248/540 54th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 7.6 #230/548 58th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 45.1% #31/738 96th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 31.0% #29/738 96th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 30.4% #37/738 95th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 29.8% #22/738 97th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 17.8% #34/738 96th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 14.6% #76/738 90th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 8.5% #49/738 93rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2021

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Elko

Pass share

45.8%

407 pass / 482 run

Plays / game

68.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

3.8%

286 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021

1 coach
2021
Jimbo Fisher
Texas A&M

Played his entire career under Jimbo Fisher.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSpring, TX
Height6'1"
Weight225 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey28

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2021)

All-SEC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2021 All-SEC all_conference Texas A&M | SEC RB
2020 All-SEC all_conference Texas A&M | SEC RB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2021 Texas A&M RB2 #112 #109 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2021 Texas A&M SEC RB 2 No. 28 | 6-1 | 225 lb | Spring, TX