Last confirmed: Kansas State, 2014. No 2026 box-score games on record.
6′1″ · Council Bluffs, IA · Iowa Western C.C.
Jake Waters: QB · Kansas State · #15.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Jake Waters
Picks you apart underneath and protects the ball. On tape: 400 passing yards and 13 rushing yards against West Virginia, Week 13, 2014.
Play style
High-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
59.6% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 31.5% conversion-per-dropback — 45.2% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
15 of 23 on 3rd/4th-and-2-or-less (65.2%). 12 of the team's 42 inside-the-5 carries (28.6%).
No outlet on our list has written about him by name this season.
Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Season | Team | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Kansas State | 262 | 397 | 66.0% | 3,501 | 8.8 | 22 | 7 | 154.8 | 80 |
| Career | 262 | 397 | 66.0% | 3,501 | 8.8 | 22 | 7 | 154.8 | 80 |
| Season | Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Kansas State | 154 | 484 | 3.1 | 9 |
| Career | 154 | 484 | 3.1 | 9 |
Game log · Week-by-week
2014 season · 13 games
Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 55-16vs Stephen F. Austin | 19/28 | 223 | 2 | 1 | 8.0 | 91.1 | |
| Wk 2 | W 32-28@ Iowa State | 16/29 | 239 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 | 79.6 | |
| Wk 4 | L 14-20vs No. 5 Auburn | 24/40 | 245 | 0 | 2 | 6.1 | 29.6 | |
| Wk 5 | W 58-28vs UTEP | 10/15 | 209 | 1 | 0 | 13.9 | 85.3 | |
| Wk 6 | W 45-13vs Texas Tech | 24/31 | 290 | 4 | 0 | 9.4 | 90.5 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 8 | W 31-30@ No. 11 Oklahoma | 15/23 | 225 | 2 | 0 | 9.8 | 82.8 | |
| Wk 9 | W 23-0vs Texas | 19/30 | 224 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 | 68.0 | |
| Wk 10 | W 48-14vs Oklahoma State | 19/28 | 223 | 2 | 0 | 8.0 | 77.5 | |
| Wk 11 | L 20-41@ No. 6 TCU | 20/37 | 291 | 2 | 1 | 7.9 | 49.9 | |
| Wk 13 | W 26-20@ West Virginia | 22/34 | 400 | 1 | 1 | 11.8 | 59.0 | Season-high 400 yds |
| Wk 14 | W 51-13vs Kansas | 21/27 | 294 | 4 | 0 | 10.9 | 96.9 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 15 | L 27-38@ No. 5 Baylor | 22/27 | 300 | 2 | 1 | 11.1 | 60.1 | |
 Bowl | L 35-40@ No. 14 UCLA | 31/48 | 338 | 2 | 1 | 7.0 | 49.4 | |
| Total | 262/397 | 3501 | 22 | 7 | 8.8 | — |
Week 6 · 2014
W 45-13
vs Texas Tech
290 yds · 4 TD · 0 INT · QBR 90.5 · 105 rush yds (17 car) · 1 TD
Dominant 32-point win at home against Texas Tech.
With T. Lockett — 12 rec · 125 yds · 2 TD · C. Sexton — 9 rec · 128 yds · 2 TD
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 395 passing plays (260 completions) against the box score's 397 attempts (262 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
8.1420 of 181 QBsSack rate
7.0%136 of 181 QBsSacked on 7.0% of dropbacks (136 of 181) — and still 20 of 181 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 66.0% completion on 397 attempts · 49 deep completions averaging 30.5 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2014 baseline
No situation moves him more than 51 percentile points from his baseline.
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
Splits · Per-game
2014 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 244 | 1.9 | 9.1 | 0.4 |
| Road5g | 291 | 1.4 | 9.8 | 0.6 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 257 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 280 | 1.9 | 9.6 | 0.4 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Bill Snyder
Pass share
47.1%
415 pass / 467 run
Plays / game
67.8
13 games
Scheme: Balanced.
Player standing · 2014
Our Heisman model had this player inside its top 25 in 2014.
How it ended
One season at Kansas State, 3,501 passing yards — his college career is complete.
His career
