cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Josiah Robinson /Georgia State

Josiah Robinson

LB · Georgia State · Jr · #25

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

96 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from Georgia State)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025Georgia State
DestinationTBD

LB · GEORGIA STATE · SUN BELT

Josiah Robinson

  • 3
  • #25
  • 5-11 | 208 lb
  • Apopka, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

73

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 93rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#15134

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1789 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey25
Measurements5-11 | 208 lb
HometownApopka, FL
Primary teamGeorgia State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1789 recruit
Composite rating 0.8263 HighSchool
Signed with Coastal Carolina 2022
Origin Apopka Apopka, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8263 No. 1789 recruit | HighSchool | Coastal Carolina

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 15, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Georgia State -> -- 3-star | Immediate
2023 Coastal Carolina -> Georgia State 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#15134Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15217Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Coastal Carolina

Composite

0.8263

#1789 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Josiah Robinson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Josiah Robinson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
96Tackles
8Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
8Tackles
0.7Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
104Tackles
8.7Tackles for loss
2.2Sacks

✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 96.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 96): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Josiah Robinson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Georgia State's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 8.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #15134 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 96 42 solo | #61/4942 (99th pct)
TFL 8.0 Backfield disruption | #198/4972 (96th pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
96 99th
SOLO
42 96th
TFL
8.0 96th
SACK
2.0 90th
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 7-63@ Ole Miss431.01.00
Wk 2L 16-38vs Memphis772.00.00
Wk 3W 37-21vs Murray State941.00.00
Wk 4L 21-70@ Vanderbilt961.00.00
Wk 6L 7-14vs James Madison1120.00.01
Wk 7L 20-41vs App State810.00.00
Wk 8L 24-41@ Georgia Southern741.00.00
Wk 9L 31-38vs South Alabama610.00.00
Wk 11L 27-40@ Coastal Carolina330.00.00
Wk 12L 18-30vs Marshall1231.00.00
Wk 13L 19-31@ Troy720.00.00
Wk 14L 10-27@ Old Dominion1361.01.00Season-high 13 tackles
Total96428.02.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Coastal Carolina9-4HC: Chad Staggs · Run-leaning
2023Georgia State7-6HC: Shawn Elliott · Run-leaning
2025Georgia State1-11HC: Dell McGee · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Georgia State96428.02.01----
2023Georgia State41283.52.5--1--
2022Coastal Carolina1040.50.0------
Career3 loaded seasons1477412.04.511--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 96 #61/4942 99th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 8.0 #198/4972 96th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 42 #165/4584 96th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g8.80.70.00.2
Road6g7.20.70.30.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins1g9.01.00.00.0
Losses11g7.90.60.20.1

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g8.00.80.20.2
Weeks 8+6g8.00.50.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

73Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (97th). Strength: solo tackles (94th).

Tackles#61 / 2975 · 98th pct
96defe
Solo tackles#165 / 2975 · 94th pct
42defe
Tackles for loss#198 / 2975 · 93rd pct
8.0defe
Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Josiah RobinsonGeorgia StateJohnny Chaney Jr.Florida International· 96% simKhalil MurdockBuffalo· 93% simJackson KuwatchMiami (OH)· 93% sim
Tackles
98
Robinson
99
Jr.
100
Murdock
98
Kuwatch
Solo tackles
94
Robinson
100
Jr.
98
Murdock
95
Kuwatch
Tackles for loss
93
Robinson
91
Jr.
99
Murdock
96
Kuwatch
Sacks
80
Robinson
89
Jr.
96
Murdock
96
Kuwatch
QB hurries
55
Robinson
55
Jr.
55
Murdock
55
Kuwatch
Passes defended
48
Robinson
48
Jr.
48
Murdock
48
Kuwatch
Forced fumbles
47
Robinson
47
Jr.
47
Murdock

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Every-Down Linebacker

Leads the team in tackles and rarely leaves the field.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Melique Straker’s 2023 season.

Melique Straker

78%match

Arkansas State · 2023

#2

Tavante Beckett

Marshall · 2020

All-Conference USA
77%
#3

Melique Straker

Arkansas State · 2022

75%
#4

Trey Fields

North Texas · 2025

75%
#5

Colin Ramos

Navy · 2023

All-AAC
74%

Matches Melique on

PD rate
Tackle volume
Sack rate

Differs from Melique on

Height (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Trey Lathan's senior season at Kansas (2025).

Trey Lathan

68%match

Kansas · 2025

#2

Kamari Wilson

Memphis · 2025

64%
#3

Malachi McLean

UConn · 2025

62%
#4

Mario Easterly

Old Dominion · 2025

61%
#5

Easton Gibbs

Wyoming · 2023

60%

Matches Trey on

Sack rate
Tackle volume
Weight

Differs from Trey on

Height (lower)
PD rate (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dell McGee

Pass share

56.5%

472 pass / 363 run

Plays / game

69.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.6%

373 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Shawn Elliott
Georgia State
2023
Shawn Elliott
Georgia State
2025
Dell McGee
Georgia State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Shawn Elliott → Dell McGee. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownApopka, FL
Height5'11"
Weight208 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey25

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Georgia State LB3 #15134 #15217 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Georgia State LB3 #11243 #11779 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Coastal Carolina LB3 #12695 #12589 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Georgia State Sun Belt LB 3 No. 25 | 5-11 | 208 lb | Apopka, FL
2024 Georgia State Sun Belt LB 3 No. 25 | 5-11 | 208 lb | Apopka, FL
2023 Georgia State Sun Belt LB 3 No. 25 | 5-11 | 208 lb | Apopka, FL
2022 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt LB 3 No. 25 | 5-11 | 208 lb | Apopka, FL