Keegan Shoemaker

Senior quarterback for Sam Houston. 2023: 2,504 passing yards, 15 TD, 11 INT.

QB · Sam Houston · Sr. · #5

6′3″ · 210 lb · Prosper, TX

CFB Index 31 · #112 of 140 QBsHigh confidenceSam Houston 2023 alumnus

The story

4 quarterback for Sam Houston. 2023: 2,504 passing yards, 15 TD, 11 INT.

The record fills in as he plays.

His career, year by year

How it ended

One season at Sam Houston, 2,504 passing yards — his college career is complete.

Career arc

Recruit

—

No recruit profile

CFB

College

Sam Houston

2023

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted

2023 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2023Sam Houston3-9HC: K.C. Keeler · Balanced

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

31Below cohort / limited sample #112 of 140?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sack rate (91st percentile). Concern: explosive rate (17th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Sack rate#17 / 177 · 91st pct

2.9%

Interception rate#57 / 177 · 68th pct

0.2%

EPA / dropback#98 / 177 · 45th pct

0.25

Success rate#102 / 177 · 42nd pct

40.6%

Explosive rate#147 / 177 · 17th pct

7.4%

Box-score rates (8)

Pass yards#59 / 179 · 67th pct

2504

Rush yards#59 / 179 · 67th pct

254

Completion %#65 / 179 · 64th pct

63.0%

Pass TDs#69 / 179 · 60th pct

Fumbles lost#76 / 167 · 40th pct

Rush TDs#124 / 179 · 23rd pct

Yards / att#157 / 179 · 11th pct

6.0

Interceptions#159 / 179 · 9th pct

Season trend

EPA / dropback— first qualifying season

Success rate— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Sack rate— first qualifying season

Interception rate— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

260/404 (64.4%) · 15 TD · 11 INT

404 of 419 attempts matched to play-by-play

Adjusted ANY/A

5.19154 of 212 QBs

Sack rate

2.8%29 of 212 QBs

Rarely sacked (29 of 212), but Adjusted ANY/A hasn't followed (154 of 212).

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Short

0–9 yds

63%of completions

163 comp4.5 yds avg6 TD

Middle

10–19 yds

26%of completions

67 comp13.6 yds avg3 TD

Deep

20+ yds

12%of completions

30 comp27.8 yds avg6 TD

Overall 64.4% completion on 404 attempts · 30 deep completions averaging 27.8 yds.

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2023 baseline

No situation moves him more than 34 percentile points from his baseline.

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-21 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 2/151 (1.3%) · league sack rate 4.9% · ~our read

Down 2

-9 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 1/134 (0.7%) · league sack rate 5.2% · ~our read

Down 3+

+34 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 9/128 (7.0%) · league sack rate 9.1% · ~our read

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2023 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home6g	213	1.5	5.5	0.8
Road5g	245	1.2	6.4	1.2

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-75g	203	1.2	5.4	1.0
Weeks 8+6g	248	1.5	6.3	1.0

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Phil Longo

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2023

Impact starter

Producing measurably more than a replacement-level starter.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

31 · #112 of 140 QBs

Career stats

Season	Team
2023	Sam Houston	264	419	63.0%	2,504	6.0	15	11	119.8	29	--	--
Career		264	419	63.0%	2,504	6.0	15	11	119.8	29	--	--

Season	Team
2023	Sam Houston	93	254	2.7	1	--
Career		93	254	2.7	1	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 10 · 2023

W 24–21

vs Kennesaw State

242 yds · 3 TD · 1 INT · QBR 20.2 · -1 rush yds (12 car)

A wire-to-wire battle — won by 3 at home.

With N. Smith — 13 rush yds (1 car) · J. Cardell — 37 AVG · 1 IN 20 · 41 LONG

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 5 · Jacksonville State · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +4.37Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for 56 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK)
Week 10 · Kennesaw State · 2&10 · Q2 · EPA -3.85Keegan Shoemaker run for 2 yds to the KENN 27 Keegan Shoemaker fumbled, recovered by KSU Woods,Jerrod at KSU27, End Of Play.
Week 5 · Jacksonville State · 2&9 · Q2 · EPA +3.59Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for 28 yds to the JVST 40 for a 1ST down Jacksonville State Penalty, Personal Foul (Jaden Thomas) to the JVST 45 for a 1ST down
Week 12 · Western Kentucky · 2&5 · Q2 · EPA +3.52Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 42 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums PAT MISSED)
Week 8 · Florida International · 3&7 · Q1 · EPA +3.36Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Malik Phillips for 23 yds to the FIU 43 for a 1ST down
Week 6 · Liberty · 3&8 · Q3 · EPA +3.32Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 20 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
Week 12 · Western Kentucky · 2&10 · Q1 · EPA +3.27Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for 31 yds to the WKU 47 for a 1ST down
Week 6 · Liberty · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +3.14Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Malik Phillips for 41 yds to the LIB 34 for a 1ST down
Week 10 · Kennesaw State · 3&11 · Q1 · EPA +3.10Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
Week 13 · Middle Tennessee · 3&8 · Q4 · EPA +3.07Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Simeon Evans for 16 yds to the MTSU 42 for a 1ST down

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2023 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	L 0-14@ BYU	18/33	147	0	3	4.5	13.2	3 INTs — rough day
Wk 2	L 3-13vs Air Force	8/14	44	0	0	3.1	6.5
Wk 5	L 28-35vs Jacksonville State	22/38	285	2	1	7.5	45.4
Wk 6	L 16-21@ Liberty	27/41	255	2	1	6.2	66.6
Wk 7	L 13-27@ New Mexico State	32/48	285	2	0	5.9	38.2	Clean 2-TD game
Wk 8	L 27-33vs Florida International	31/47	306	2	1	6.5	33.7	Season-high 306 yds
Wk 9	L 34-37vs UTEP	22/39	202	2	1	5.2	34.9
Wk 10	W 24-21vs Kennesaw State	30/38	242	3	1	6.4	20.2	3 TD passes
Wk 11	W 42-27@ Louisiana Tech	18/28	269	1	0	9.6	83.8
Wk 12	L 23-28@ Western Kentucky	25/45	271	1	2	6.0	43.2
Wk 13	W 23-20vs Middle Tennessee	31/48	198	0	1	4.1	33.4
Total		264/419	2504	15	11	5.9	38.1

How he plays

Play style

Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.

CFB Index positional classification

Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long

Where the completions actually land

fact

50.0%Completion %

18.9%Conversion/dropback

60.0%Land short of sticks

0INTs

50.0% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 18.9% conversion-per-dropback — 60.0% of completions land short of the sticks.

Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. ~ our read: checkdown by design

Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration

Who gets the tough yard

fact

2/23Inside-5 share

2 of the team's 23 inside-the-5 carries (8.7%).