CFB Zeitgeist Score
76
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 95th percentile.
Sam Roush
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
545 REC YDS · 49 REC · 2 REC TD
Where He Ended Up · NFL
Chicago2026 NFL rookie season
#69Rd 3 · Pick 5
Chicago2026 NFL rookie season
TE · STANFORD · ACC
Sam Roush
- 4
- #86
- 6-5 | 260 lb
- Nashville, TN
Heisman Heat
#841
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2022
Stanford · TE
—
2023
Stanford · TE
—
2024
Stanford · TE
—
★
2025
Stanford · TE
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 3, Pick 5 · #69 overall · Chicago
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2022–2025+1503%
Up 1503% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
Stanford
NFL
NFL Draft
R3 · #69
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4-star | 0.9018 | No. 296 recruit | HighSchool | Stanford |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (545).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Stanford
Composite
0.9018
#296 national
NFL Draft
2026 · Rd 3, Pick 5
#69 overall · Chicago
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Sam Roush
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=3
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Sam Roush
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving yards (total)
545
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #177 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 67th
Why it matters
#177 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 545 yards on 49 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 545 (67th)
HIGH · n=49 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Yards per reception#349 / 531
- Receiving TDs#302 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 10 vs Pittsburgh — 104 receiving_yards_total
Result L 20-35
The week the volume broke through — put up 104 yds vs Pittsburgh.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 11g
545Rec yards
49Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
49.5Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
644.1Rec yards
58Receptions
2Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 545): needs 77.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 545): needs 227.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 49): needs 5.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 49): needs 15.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 3/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 2.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Sam Roush already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
TE season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
49 99th
YDS
545 98th
YPR
11.1 66th
TD
2 84th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 20-23@ Hawai'i | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 2 | L 3-27@ BYU | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 3 | W 30-20vs Boston College | 3 | 79 | 26.3 | 1 | 69 | |
| Wk 5 | W 30-29vs San José State | 3 | 43 | 14.3 | 1 | 21 | |
| Wk 7 | L 10-34@ SMU | 8 | 89 | 11.1 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 8 | W 20-13vs Florida State | 6 | 63 | 10.5 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 9 | L 7-42@ Miami | 5 | 23 | 4.6 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 10 | L 20-35vs Pittsburgh | 8 | 104 | 13.0 | 0 | 53 | Season-high 104 yds |
| Wk 11 | L 15-20@ North Carolina | 6 | 49 | 8.2 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 13 | W 31-10vs California | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 14 | L 20-49vs Notre Dame | 4 | 73 | 18.3 | 0 | 27 | |
| Total | 49 | 545 | 10.7 | 2 | 69 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Stanford3-9HC: David Shaw · Balanced
2023Stanford3-9HC: Troy Taylor · Balanced
2024Stanford3-9HC: Troy Taylor · Run-leaning
2025Stanford4-8HC: Frank Reich · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 49 | #7/475 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 545 | #10/475 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #79/475 | 84th pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 11.1 | #161/475 | 66th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 18.7% | #8/468 | 99th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 69 | #9/475 | 98th pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 12.8% | #7/468 | 99th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 11.2% | #2/468 | 100th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 10.0% | #13/468 | 97th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 9.9% | #6/468 | 99th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 8.5% | #7/468 | 99th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 8.3% | #46/468 | 90th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/55 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS TE |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 4.3 | 62.7 | 14.9 | 0.3 |
| Road5g | 4.6 | 33.8 | 5.6 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 3.5 | 49.8 | 14.5 | 0.5 |
| Losses7g | 5.0 | 49.4 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 3.6 | 43.8 | 11.1 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 5.2 | 54.3 | 10.3 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
76All-Conference
Elite: receptions (96th). Strength: long catch (95th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Sam RoushStanfordMax KlareOhio State· 85% simJett CarpenterNevada· 84% simToby PayneMarshall· 83% sim
Receptions
Long catch
Rec yards
Fumbles lost
Yards / catch
Rec TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Complete TE
Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.
TE
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Mark Redman’s 2023 season.
Mark Redman
69%match
All-Mountain West
#2
Miles Kitselman
All-SEC
66%
#3
Sam Roush
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 5
65%
#4
Payne Durham
NFL Rd 5
64%
#5
Sam Roush
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 5
64%
Matches Mark on
Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
Yards / reception
Differs from Mark on
Reception volume (higher)
Weight (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to D'Andre Rogers's senior season at TCU (2025).
D'Andre Rogers
74%match
#2
Jack Velling
All-Big Ten
72%
#3
C.J. Dippre
71%
#4
Max Wright
72%
#5
Carsen Ryan
NFL Rd 7
70%
Matches D'Andre on
Height
Weight
Yards / reception
Differs from D'Andre on
Reception volume (higher)
EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Frank Reich
Pass share
50.4%
391 pass / 385 run
Plays / game
64.7
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
12.5%
337 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
3 coaches2022
David Shaw
Stanford
2023era →
Troy Taylor
Stanford
2024
Troy Taylor
Stanford
2025era →
Frank Reich
Stanford
Played under 3 different head coaches: David Shaw, Troy Taylor, and Frank Reich. Multi-era developmental context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownNashville, TN
Height6'5"
Weight260 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey86
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamStanford
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-ACC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-ACC | all_conference | Stanford | ACC | TE |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.