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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Vincent Davis /UNLV

Vincent Davis

RB · UNLV · Sr · #5

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSUNLV 2023 alumnus

RB · UNLV · MOUNTAIN WEST

Vincent Davis

  • 4
  • #5
  • 5-9 | 180 lb
  • Fort Lauderdale, FL

CFB Zeitgeist RB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#390

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

—

CONSENSUS

All-American

—

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2023
5932021
2742022
7602023

+28%

Up 28% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#854 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements5-9 | 180 lb
HometownFort Lauderdale, FL
Primary teamUNLV

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 854 recruit
Composite rating 0.8648 HighSchool
Signed with Pittsburgh 2019
Origin Cardinal Gibbons Fort Lauderdale, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 3-star | 0.8648 No. 854 recruit | HighSchool | Pittsburgh

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination UNLV 2023
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 11, 2023
Season Move Context
2023 Pittsburgh -> UNLV 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19
Current nowcast#390Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#450Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Pittsburgh

Composite

0.8648

#854 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Vincent Davis

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Vincent Davis

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Vincent Davis's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UNLV, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #390 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 16.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 860 760 rush | 100 rec | #73/735 (90th pct)
Rush TD 7 145 carries | #62/739 (92nd pct)
Yards/carry 5.2 Per-rush efficiency | #240/735 (67th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse against FBS RB peers.

Workhorse

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
145 90th
YDS
760 90th
YPC
5.2 67th
TD
7 92nd

Receiving

REC
11 65th
YDS
100 70th
YPR
9.1 72nd
TD
1 89th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Pittsburgh11-2HC: Pat Narduzzi · Balanced, fast tempo
2022Pittsburgh9-4HC: Pat Narduzzi · Run-leaning
2023UNLV9-5HC: Barry Odom · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2023UNLV1457605.27--
2022Pittsburgh522745.31--
2021Pittsburgh1425934.24--
Career3 loaded seasons3391,6274.812--
SeasonTeam
2023UNLV111009.11--
2022Pittsburgh121068.80--
2021Pittsburgh231255.40--
Career3 loaded seasons463317.21--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 11 100 rec yds | #195/552 (65th pct)
Usage 16.1% 29.2% rush share | #152/738 (80th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.19 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #67/362 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 760 #73/735 90th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 7 #62/739 92nd pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.2 #240/735 67th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 11 #195/552 65th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 100 #168/548 70th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.19 #67/362 82nd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 132 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 16.1% #152/738 80th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 145 #73/739 90th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 69 #66/733 91st pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 27 #142/540 74th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 9.1 #157/548 72nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 29.2% #132/738 82nd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 18.6% #117/738 84th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 18.1% #174/738 77th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 17.3% #180/738 76th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 13.0% #108/738 86th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.7% #300/738 59th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 4.8% #172/738 77th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

Status—Awaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2023

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback—
awaiting
CPOE—
awaiting
Success rate—
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)—
awaiting
aDOT—
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy—
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack—
awaiting
3rd-down EPA—
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate—
awaiting
Play-action EPA—
awaiting
Scramble EPA—
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate—
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dan Mullen

Pass share

46.5%

423 pass / 487 run

Plays / game

65.0

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.8%

283 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

2 coaches
2021
Marcus Arroyo
UNLV
2022
Marcus Arroyo
UNLV
2023
Barry Odom
UNLV
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Marcus Arroyo → Barry Odom. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFort Lauderdale, FL
Height5'9"
Weight180 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2023 UNLV RB4 #390 #450 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 Pittsburgh RB4 #929 #856 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Pittsburgh RB4 #231 #227 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2023 UNLV Mountain West RB 4 No. 5 | 5-9 | 180 lb | Fort Lauderdale, FL
2022 Pittsburgh ACC RB 4 No. 5 | 5-9 | 180 lb | Fort Lauderdale, FL
2021 Pittsburgh ACC RB 4 No. 5 | 5-9 | 180 lb | Fort Lauderdale, FL