Texas State: the fanbase's identity shifting.
- Coverage leans bullish — but with real dissent
- Win total 6.5 — line down since open
- G
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Texas State's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Texas State's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
How it developed newest first
Jul 27
Texas State signed a top-27 transfer-portal class — 34 additions headlined by Nate Yarnell (QB) from Pittsburgh and Holden Geriner (QB) from Auburn.
the No. 1 portal class in the Pac-12 this cycle
why it mattersWith Shaker Reisig arriving at QB and Donterry Russell (EDGE) headlining Texas State's top-9 portal class, G.J. Kinne adds depth to a 7-6 roster already returning 100% of its passing game. ~ our read
Texas State: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
why it mattersG.J. Kinne enters his fourth season with a 7-6 record and a reshaped unit, balancing the momentum of an 8-5 2023 season with the challenge of sustaining it in the Pac-12. ~ our read
Texas State: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
Texas State: the fanbase's identity shifting.
why it mattersG.J. Kinne enters his third season at Texas State with a 7-6 record under his belt, as the program's identity continues to shift toward a more established FBS presence. ~ our read
Texas State enters 2026 rated No. 65 in 2025 SP+ (+2.3), down 17 spots from 2024.
top-quintile returning production in FBS — 1% of production comes back
why it mattersTexas State dropped 17 spots in SP+ — the 7-6 record and top-quintile returning production contrast with the 65th ranking, highlighting the tension between performance and projection under G.J. Kinne. ~ our read
Rooms tap to switch
The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.
The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.
This event was in 111 of 1011 board posts (11%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.
The range the bull case vs the counter
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