Next game
at Catawba
Sat Oct 31 · 1 pm ET
Shuford Stadium · series 3-2, won the last 2
Carson Newman 68% to win · our ratings after 8 games
Carson Newman
7-1South Atlantic · Burke-Tarr Stadium · 6,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 31-10 vs Emory & Henry
Our model gave Carson Newman 80% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Newberry 64%, Catawba 68%
Win out 35% · expect 2.1 of 3 more wins
Carson Newman's chance to win each game left, from our model: Catawba 68%, Newberry 64%, Tusculum 80%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Catawba · our model 68% Carson Newman
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Carson Newman · 2026 schedule and results7-1Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 41%.Our rank entering each game: #287 to #279
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 27 | #287 | #351 | — | Tiffin | W 41-38 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 1 | Sep 3 | #287 | — | — | Thomas | W 44-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #294 | #314 | — | Wingate | W 24-23 | 3-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #295 | #389 | — | @UVA Wise | W 42-7 | 4-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #283 | #299 | — | Mars Hill | L 6-10 | 4-1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #285 | #294 | — | @Lenoir Rhyne | W 20-17 | 5-1 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #283 | #325 | — | Anderson (SC) | W 29-13 | 6-1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #279 | #353 | — | Emory & Henry | W 31-10 | 7-1 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #278 | #326 | @Catawba | 1 pm ET68% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Newberry | 3 pm ET64% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Tusculum | 2 pm ET80% to win | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Carson Newman, through 8 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Carson Newman: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
What’s ahead
Off this week
7 days
until kickoff · at Catawba · Sat Oct 31 · 1 pm ET
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Carson Newman has won four of its last five.
8-2 over the last 10, and won the last three.
Streak W3Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 8-2
Range of outcomes · Carson Newman · 2026
Range of outcomes · Carson Newman · 2026Carson Newman’s most likely regular season is 9-2. 98% of outcomes land from 8-3 to 10-1.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
7 wins 2%; 8 wins 18%; 9 wins 45%; 10 wins 35%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor9-3Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base11-1Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling11-1Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 8 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 7-1
Game feel44rock fightscombined pts / game9th highest-scoring of 10 in the South Atlantic
Heart rate3-1some dramain one-score games (4 of 8)6th most one-score games of 10 in the South Atlantic
Margin+14.9comfortableavg scoring margin1st best margin of 10 in the South Atlantic
Measured from 8 games · ranks are among South Atlantic teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Carson Newman enters the 2026 season at 7-1.
2026 Record7-1
Game day
The experience
Carson Newman is the South Atlantic program known for the eagles.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site