Player stats
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Biggest plays from Northern Iowa’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Northern Iowa’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q1, 5:48 · Iowa up 7Hank Brown finds Braeden Jackson for a 24-yard touchdownNorthern Iowa at Iowa, week 3Q1, 5:48 · Iowa 14, Northern Iowa 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playH.Brown pass complete deep left to B.Jackson caught at UNI00, for 24 yards to the UNI00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 12:59 · Iowa up 21Hank Brown finds Addison Ostrenga for a 14-yard touchdownNorthern Iowa at Iowa, week 3Q2, 12:59 · Iowa 28, Northern Iowa 0Addison Ostrenga's first touchdown since 2024Addison Ostrenga's first touchdown since 2024H.Brown pass complete short left to A.Ostrenga caught at UNI21, for 14 yards to the UNI00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 10:06 · Iowa up 28Xavier Williams runs 16 yards for a touchdownNorthern Iowa at Iowa, week 3Q2, 10:06 · Iowa 35, Northern Iowa 0Xavier Williams's first 100-yard rushing game of 2026Xavier Williams's first 100-yard rushing game of 2026X.Williams rush middle for 16 yards gain to the UNI00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q3, 4:22 · Northern Iowa down 49Rashad Godfrey Jr. intercepts Jaxon DaileyNorthern Iowa at Iowa, week 3Q3, 4:22 · Northern Iowa 0, Iowa 49Rashad Godfrey Jr.'s first career interceptionRashad Godfrey Jr.'s first career interceptionJ.Dailey pass intercepted by R.Godfrey Jr. at IOWA27 QB hurried by J.Manson R.Godfrey Jr. return 2 yards to the IOWA29 (K.Diers)▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Northern Iowa lost at Southern Illinois after being 74% to win; the closest win was against North Dakota, down to 35%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Northern Iowa during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Northern Iowa is worth +8.2 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 98th percentile of 133 programs
33% at home, 11% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (2-4 home, 2-16 away). Interval ±10.1.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Northern Iowa has beaten the number by +3.3 more at home than away over 50 games. That is inside the ±8.6 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
UNI-Dome seats 16,324 and has averaged 55% full (9,027, 15 games reported). Visitors cover a median 370 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 44 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
More in this tab
Scheme claims
How much of Northern Iowa’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.09; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.03. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.25 raw vs. 0.04 adjusted.