cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Aiden Valdez /New Mexico

Aiden Valdez

TE · New Mexico · Jr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

-3 REC YDS · 1 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to New Mexico for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to New Mexico for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · New Mexico

Returning around him

  • 12% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 1 New Mexico player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (15 in / 14 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

New Mexico · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #131 · 2026 recruiting class #138

TE · NEW MEXICO · MOUNTAIN WEST

Aiden Valdez

  • 3
  • #11
  • 6-4 | 242 lb
  • Hacienda Heights, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

2

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 7th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2227 national
CFB
College
New Mexico
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class3
Jersey11
Measurements6-4 | 242 lb
HometownHacienda Heights, CA
Primary teamNew Mexico

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2227 recruit
Composite rating 0.8056 HighSchool
Signed with Campbell 2023
Origin Bishop Amat La Puente, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8056 No. 2227 recruit | HighSchool | Campbell

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Campbell

Composite

0.8056

#2227 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Aiden Valdez

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Aiden Valdez    New Mexico Lobos"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Aiden Valdez

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What we can say about this player

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Aiden Valdez's page is mostly roster and pedigree right now — there isn't measurable current-season production on file for New Mexico yet. As box scores and snaps land, the on-field story fills in here.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 1 0 rec TD | #406/475 (15th pct)
Receiving yards -3 -3.0 per catch | #475/475 (0th pct)
Scrimmage yards -3 Total offensive yardage | #475/475 (0th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
1 15th
YDS
-3 0th
YPR
-3.0 0th
TD
0 46th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 1 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
BowlL 17-20@ Minnesota1-3-3.00-3
Total1-3-3.00-3
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025New Mexico9-4HC: Jason Eck · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025New Mexico1-3-3.00--
Career1 loaded season1-3-3.00--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage -- Role share still loading
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #257/475 (46th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 1 #406/475 15th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards -3 #475/475 0th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #257/475 46th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch -3.0 #475/475 0th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG -3 #475/475 0th pct Metricvs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 1 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Road1g1.0-3.0-3.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Losses1g1.0-3.0-3.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-71g1.0-3.0-3.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

2Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: long catch (0th).

Rec TDs#152 / 175 · 7th pct
0rece
Rec yards#176 / 175 · 0th pct
-3rece
Receptions#176 / 175 · 0th pct
1rece
Yards / catch#176 / 175 · 0th pct
-3.0rece
Long catch#176 / 175 · 0th pct
-3rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Aiden ValdezNew MexicoBryce CaufieldOregon State· 60% simHayden HansenFlorida· 55% simTyler FortenberryArkansas State· 51% sim
Rec TDs
7
Valdez
21
Caufield
43
Hansen
43
Fortenberry
Rec yards
0
Valdez
44
Caufield
54
Hansen
58
Fortenberry
Receptions
0
Valdez
66
Caufield
69
Hansen
75
Fortenberry
Yards / catch
0
Valdez
7
Caufield
16
Hansen
26
Fortenberry
Long catch
0
Valdez
39
Caufield
32
Hansen
32
Fortenberry

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jason Eck

Pass share

43.3%

350 pass / 459 run

Plays / game

62.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.3%

293 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Jason Eck
New Mexico

Played his entire career under Jason Eck.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHacienda Heights, CA
Height6'4"
Weight242 lb
Class3
PositionTE
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 New Mexico Mountain West TE 3 No. 11 | 6-4 | 242 lb | Hacienda Heights, CA