cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Andrew Johnson /Wyoming

Andrew Johnson

S · Wyoming · Sr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

43 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Wyoming for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Wyoming for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Safety · Wyoming

Returning around him

  • 77% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +3 net (19 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Wyoming · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #117 · 2026 recruiting class #89

S · WYOMING · MOUNTAIN WEST

Andrew Johnson

  • 4
  • #3
  • 6-1 | 202 lb
  • Cheyenne, WY

CFB Zeitgeist Score

54

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 63rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14330

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★
#3396 national
CFB
College
Wyoming
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#29 in market ▼ from #23 · 5 books

+35002.8% implied▲ tightened from +6600

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class4
Jersey3
Measurements6-1 | 202 lb
HometownCheyenne, WY
Primary teamWyoming

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2042 recruit
Composite rating 0.8185 HighSchool
Signed with Wyoming 2021
Origin Cheyenne Central Cheyenne, WY, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8185 No. 2042 recruit | HighSchool | Wyoming
2020 2-star | 0.7800 No. 3396 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14330Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#14494Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Wyoming

Composite

0.8185

#2042 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Andrew Johnson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Andrew Johnson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
43Tackles
2Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
51Tackles
2.4Tackles for loss
1.2Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 43): needs 18.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 43): needs 28.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 4.5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Andrew Johnson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Wyoming's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 2.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14330 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 16 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 43 30 solo | #804/4942 (84th pct)
TFL 2.0 Backfield disruption | #1443/4972 (71st pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
43 84th
SOLO
30 89th
TFL
2.0 71st
SACK
1.0 82nd

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 10-0@ Akron630.00.00
Wk 2W 31-7vs Northern Iowa221.01.00
Wk 3L 6-31vs Utah
Wk 4L 20-37@ Colorado440.00.00
Wk 6L 17-31vs UNLV651.00.01
Wk 8L 21-24@ Air Force830.00.00Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 9W 28-0vs Colorado State110.00.00
Wk 10L 7-24@ San Diego State420.00.00
Wk 12L 3-24@ Fresno State540.00.00
Wk 13L 7-13vs Nevada210.00.00
Wk 14L 7-27@ Hawai'i550.00.00
Total43302.01.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Wyoming9-4HC: Craig Bohl · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Wyoming3-9HC: Jay Sawvel · Run-leaning
2025Wyoming4-8HC: Jay Sawvel · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Wyoming43302.01.01----
2024Wyoming31190.50.01----
2023Wyoming531.00.01----
Career3 loaded seasons79523.51.03----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 43 #804/4942 84th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.0 #1443/4972 71st pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 30 #515/4584 89th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g2.20.40.20.2
Road6g5.30.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins3g3.00.30.30.0
Losses8g4.20.10.00.1

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g3.60.40.20.2
Weeks 8+6g4.20.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

54Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: solo tackles (81st). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Solo tackles#515 / 2975 · 82nd pct
30defe
Tackles#804 / 2975 · 73rd pct
43defe
Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Tackles for loss#1424 / 2975 · 47th pct
2.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Andrew JohnsonWyomingJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 82% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 80% simAhmaad MosesSMU· 79% sim
Solo tackles
82
Johnson
96
Vaughns
87
Martin
98
Moses
Tackles
73
Johnson
99
Vaughns
98
Martin
99
Moses
Sacks
63
Johnson
63
Vaughns
24
Martin
63
Moses
Passes defended
48
Johnson
48
Vaughns
67
Martin
78
Moses
Forced fumbles
47
Johnson
47
Vaughns
47
Martin
47
Moses
Tackles for loss
47
Johnson
85
Vaughns
63
Martin
83
Moses
QB hurries
22
Johnson
22
Vaughns
22
Martin
22
Moses

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Mordecai McDaniel’s 2025 season.

Mordecai McDaniel

91%match

Oklahoma State · 2025

#2

CJ Christian

Florida International · 2023

91%
#3

Scotty Edwards

Stanford · 2023

87%
#4

Malik Dixon

UConn · 2023

87%
#5

Clayton Bush

Illinois · 2023

85%

Matches Mordecai on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Malik Dixon's junior season at UConn (2023).

Malik Dixon

99%match

UConn · 2023

#2

Tarheeb Still

Maryland · 2022

All-Big TenNFL Rd 5
95%
#3

Clayton Bush

Illinois · 2023

95%
#4

Nate Valcarcel

Northern Illinois · 2023

All-MAC
91%
#5

Jaxson Campbell

Navy · 2025

88%

Matches Malik on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jay Sawvel

Pass share

49.8%

383 pass / 386 run

Plays / game

64.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.3%

332 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Craig Bohl
Wyoming
2024
Jay Sawvel
Wyoming
era →
2025
Jay Sawvel
Wyoming

Coaching transition mid-career: Craig Bohl → Jay Sawvel. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCheyenne, WY
Height6'1"
Weight202 lb
Class4
PositionS
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Wyoming S4 #14330 #14494 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Wyoming S4 #12670 #12456 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 Wyoming S4 #12874 #12688 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West
2021 Wyoming S4 #11184 #10934 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Wyoming Mountain West S 4 No. 3 | 6-1 | 202 lb | Cheyenne, WY
2024 Wyoming Mountain West S 4 No. 3 | 6-1 | 202 lb | Cheyenne, WY
2023 Wyoming Mountain West S 4 No. 3 | 6-1 | 202 lb | Cheyenne, WY
2022 Wyoming Mountain West S 4 No. 3 | 6-1 | 202 lb | Cheyenne, WY
2021 Wyoming Mountain West S 4 No. 3 | 6-1 | 202 lb | Cheyenne, WY