#13

Caleb Williams

QB · USC · Jr. · #13

Chicago — drafted 2024, No. 1 overall
This season's coverage starts August 26 — check back once kickoff hits.

Caleb Williams

QB · USC · Jr · #13

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
—
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Not drafted (yet)

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

2 coaches
2021
Donte Williams
USC
2022era →
2023

Coaching transition mid-career: Donte Williams → Lincoln Riley. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Where He Ended Up · NFL

ChicagoEntering 3rd NFL season

#1Rd 1 · Pick 1
ChicagoEntering 3rd NFL season
View college career stats ↓

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2021Oklahoma11-2HC: Bob Stoops · Balanced
2022USC11-3HC: Lincoln Riley · Balanced
2023USC8-5HC: Lincoln Riley · Pass-leaning, slow tempo

Career stats

SeasonTeam
2023USC26638868.6%3,6339.4305170.1----
2022USC33249966.5%4,5359.1425168.6----
2021Oklahoma13621164.5%1,9129.1214169.6----
Career7341,09866.8%10,0809.29314169.4----
SeasonTeam
2023USC991151.211--
2022USC1133823.410--
2021Oklahoma794425.66--
Career2919393.227--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 9 · 2023

W 50–49

at California

369 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT  ·  QBR 62.1  ·  -13 rush yds (13 car) · 2 TD

Edged out California on the road in a shootout.

How he plays

Play style

Picks you apart underneath and protects the ball.

CFB Index positional classification

DNA match

Player DNA

Pocket Surgeon

High-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation.

QB

His 2023 production profile sits closest to Jaxson Dart’s 2023 season.

Jaxson Dart

65%match

Ole Miss · 2023

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 25
#2

Quinn Ewers

Texas · 2023

NFL Rd 7
64%
#3

Grayson McCall

Coastal Carolina · 2022

All-Sun Belt
62%
#4

Rocco Becht

Iowa State · 2023

60%
#5

Brady Cook

Missouri · 2023

57%

Matches Jaxson on

Height

Differs from Jaxson on

Class year (lower)
Rush yards / carry (lower)
Completion % (higher)
Based on 11 features · 2 seasons in pool · Opponent-adjusted weighted z-score distance

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Marcel Reed’s path through Texas A&M.

Marcel Reed

84%match

Texas A&M · 2025

#2

Jaxson Dart

Ole Miss · 2024

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 25
82%
#3

Skylar John Thompson

Kansas State · 2021

82%
#4

Dylan Rizk

UCF · 2024

78%
#5

Dillon Gabriel

Oregon · 2024

All-Big TenNFL Rd 3 · Pk 30
77%

Matches Marcel on

Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %
202120222023
Career-aggregate opponent-adjusted stats · physical traits

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jaxson Dart's junior season at Ole Miss (2023).

Jaxson Dart

66%match

Ole Miss · 2023

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 25
#2

Grayson McCall

Coastal Carolina · 2022

All-Sun Belt
60%
#3

Shedeur Sanders

Colorado · 2024

Unitas Golden ArmAll-Big 12NFL Rd 5
58%
#4

J.J. McCarthy

Michigan · 2023

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 10
57%
#5

C.J. Stroud

Ohio State · 2022

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 2
56%

Matches Jaxson on

Height

Differs from Jaxson on

Class year (lower)
Rush yards / carry (lower)
Completion % (higher)
Opponent-adjusted stats · junior cohort across all seasons

Player DNA

Players who play like Caleb Williams

#1

Marcel Reed

Texas A&M · 2024

84%
#2

Jaxson Dart

USC · 2021

82%
#3

Dylan Rizk

UCF · 2024

78%
#4

Dillon Gabriel

UCF · 2021

77%
#5

Dante Moore

UCLA · 2023

77%

Heisman trajectory

Heisman futures · sportsbook market

#21 in market ▼ from #18 · 6 books

+40002.4% implied▼ lengthened from +3000

Final Heisman Position · 2023

#23

Heisman top-25 (#23) · finalist probability 0%.

Development

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2023
1,9122021
4,5352022
3,6332023

+90%

Up 90% from first season to most-recent.