cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Quinn Ewers /Texas

Quinn Ewers

QB · Texas · Jr · #3

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLMiami — drafted 2025, Rd 7, Pick 15, #231 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

MiamiEntering 2nd NFL season

#231Rd 7 · Pick 15
MiamiEntering 2nd NFL season

QB · TEXAS · SEC

Quinn Ewers

  • 3
  • #3
  • 6-2 | 210 lb
  • Southlake, TX

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#7

5.7% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

5.7%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

In contention

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 4 · Elite

R12 · All-American

All-American. Named to an NCAA-recognized All-America team.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2024

2022

Texas · QB

2023

Texas · QB

R08 · Watch-list name

Recognized

2024

Texas · QB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

NFL Draft 2025 · Rd 7, Pick 15 · #231 overall · Miami

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2022–2024
2,1282022
3,4792023
3,4722024

+63%

Up 63% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★★
#1 national
CFB
College
Texas
2022–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
R7 · #231
Miami · 2025

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey3
Measurements6-2 | 210 lb
HometownSouthlake, TX
Primary teamTexas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 5-star No. 1 recruit
Composite rating 1.0000 HighSchool
Signed with Ohio State 2021
Origin Southlake Carroll Southlake, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 5-star | 1.0000 No. 1 recruit | HighSchool | Ohio State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Texas 2022
Transfer stars 5-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 4, 2021
Season Move Context
2022 Ohio State -> Texas 5-star | 1.0000 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#7Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5Where the full season sim points
Win probability5.7%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability31.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability97.7%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★★

to Ohio State

Composite

1.0000

#1 national

NFL Draft

2025 · Rd 7, Pick 15

#231 overall · Miami

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Quinn Ewers

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Quinn Ewers

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the pedigree actually matters here

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Quinn Ewers was a real recruiting acquisition, not an out-of-nowhere name, and that matters when a Heisman case starts to form. The card shows a 5-star profile with a No. 1 recruit national ranking lane, which helps explain why voters and media were ready to notice fast once the production showed up.

Current place #7 5.7% win | 31.0% finalist
Role load 50.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 1 recruit

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 3,472 31 TD | 12 INT | #16/382 (96th pct)
Completion rate 65.8% 293/445 completions | #119/383 (69th pct)
Yards/attempt 7.8 Explosiveness through the air | #103/382 (73rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Efficient | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerEfficientPocket-leaning

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
293 97th
ATT
445 97th
CMP%
65.8% 69th
Y/A
7.8 73rd

Passing Production

YDS
3,472 96th
TD
31 99th
INT
12 3rd

Rushing

CAR
57 74th
YDS
-82 2nd
YPC
-1.4 10th
TD
2 73rd

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Texas8-5HC: Steve Sarkisian · Run-leaning
2023Texas12-2HC: Steve Sarkisian · Balanced
2024Texas13-3HC: Steve Sarkisian · Balanced, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2024Texas29344565.8%3,4727.83112149.0----
2023Texas27239469.0%3,4798.8226158.6----
2022Texas17129558.0%2,1287.2156131.3----
Career3 loaded seasons7361,13464.9%9,0798.06824147.7----
SeasonTeam
2024Texas57-82-1.42--
2023Texas59751.35--
2022Texas24-52-2.21--
Career3 loaded seasons140-59-0.48--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact -82 2 rush TD | #402/408 (2nd pct)
Usage 50.5% 92.1% pass share | 5.8% rush share | #78/428 (82nd pct)
Passing WEPA +0.51 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #6/200 (98th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 3,472 #16/382 96th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 31 #5/407 99th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 293 #14/383 97th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 65.8% #119/383 69th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 7.8 #103/382 73rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards -82 #402/408 2nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.51 #6/200 98th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 497 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 50.5% #78/428 82nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 445 #12/407 97th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 12 #395/407 3rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 57 #108/408 74th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 26 #127/391 68th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #113/408 73rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry -1.4 #369/407 10th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 92.1% #47/428 89th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 65.8% #64/428 85th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 65.6% #75/428 83rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 49.1% #89/428 79th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 45.0% #68/428 84th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 43.5% #89/428 79th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 5.8% #259/428 40th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 5 #252/258 3rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Steve Sarkisian

Pass share

50.2%

419 pass / 415 run

Plays / game

64.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.6%

288 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2024

1 coach
2022
Steve Sarkisian
Texas
2023
Steve Sarkisian
Texas
2024
Steve Sarkisian
Texas

Played his entire career under Steve Sarkisian.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSouthlake, TX
Height6'2"
Weight210 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-SEC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-SEC all_conference Texas | SEC QB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas QB3 #7 #5 5.7% 31.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Texas QB3 #10 #8 5.3% 27.9% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Texas QB3 #75 #70 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Texas SEC QB 3 No. 3 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Southlake, TX
2023 Texas Big 12 QB 3 No. 3 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Southlake, TX
2022 Texas Big 12 QB 3 No. 3 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Southlake, TX