#15

Chance Nolan

QB · Oregon State · Sr. · #15

Oregon State 2022 alumnus
This season's coverage starts August 26 — check back once kickoff hits.

Chance Nolan

QB · Oregon State · Sr · #15

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#30 national
CFB
College
Oregon State
2021–2022
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2021Oregon State7-6HC: Jonathan Smith · Run-leaning
2022Oregon State10-3HC: Jonathan Smith · Run-heavy

Career stats

SeasonTeam
2022Oregon State6611159.5%9398.578136.9----
2021Oregon State20431864.2%2,6778.41910148.3----
Career27042962.9%3,6168.42618145.3----
SeasonTeam
2022Oregon State16754.71--
2021Oregon State702864.13--
Career863614.24--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 2 · 2022

W 35–32

at Fresno State

219 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT  ·  QBR 61.7  ·  -9 rush yds (4 car)

Edged out Fresno State on the road in a shootout.

How he plays

Play style

Beats you with his legs when the pocket breaks down.

CFB Index positional classification

DNA match

Player DNA

Dual Threat

Dangerous with both arm and legs — defenses can't just pin the ears back.

QB

His 2022 production profile sits closest to Jalen Mayden’s 2022 season.

Jalen Mayden

43%match

San Diego State · 2022

#2

Tyler Vitt

Texas State · 2020

42%
#3

Austin Kendall

Louisiana Tech · 2021

37%
#4

Andrew Marty

Northwestern · 2021

35%
#5

Jeff Sims

Georgia Tech · 2021

34%

Differs from Jalen on

INT rate (higher)
Rush usage (lower)
Total pass EPA (college ability) (lower)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Carlos Davis’s path through Towson.

Carlos Davis

87%match

Towson · 2024

#2

Dequan Finn

Miami (OH) · 2025

All-MAC
87%
#3

Ben Wooldridge

Louisiana · 2024

All-Sun Belt
86%
#4

Scotty Fox Jr.

West Virginia · 2025

84%
#5

Gerry Bohannon

South Florida · 2022

84%

Matches Carlos on

Completion %
Yards per attempt
Height
202020212022

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Katin Houser's junior season at East Carolina (2024).

Katin Houser

46%match

East Carolina · 2024

#2

Jake Garcia

East Carolina · 2024

41%
#3

Logan Bonner

Utah State · 2022

32%
#4

Conner Weigman

Texas A&M · 2024

24%
#5

Matthew Caldwell

Troy · 2024

23%

Matches Katin on

Total pass EPA (college ability)
TD rate

Differs from Katin on

INT rate (higher)
Weight (lower)
EPA / dropback (adj) (higher)

Player DNA

Players who play like Chance Nolan

#1

Carlos Davis

Massachusetts · 2023

87%
#2

Athan Kaliakmanis

Minnesota · 2022

83%

Development

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2022
2,6772021
9392022

-65%

Sharp dropoff (-65%) — career inflection point.